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Old 03-20-2015, 10:25 AM
 
1,689 posts, read 2,440,903 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mhc1985 View Post
None of the coutries that you mentioned but Cuba and Puerto Rico are losing population.
Several of these ones are indeed growing very slowly (eg. Uruguay) and likely to go in reversal in the future, but not yet. Anyway, I suspect that in the long term countries like Chile, Argentina, Brazil and Uruguay itself will keep growing due to immigration from poorer and overpopulated regions of the world.
I doubt brazil, argentina will become a hot bed for migrants from other places of the globe

maybe bolivians etc (next door folks)

if you knew demographics you'll know latin america is getting close to europe's we're screwed demographically, even worse because its not fully developed yet and its already aging fast
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Old 03-20-2015, 11:11 AM
AFP
 
7,334 posts, read 5,143,654 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by samngchaoyu View Post
Countries that will drop in pop will have colour front!

Year 2100 NOW

1) India - 1,550,899,000 1,236,344,631
2) China - 941,042,000 1,355,692,576
3) Nigeria - 729,885,000 177,155,754 gain nearly 600 million people
4) United States - 478,026,000 318,892,103
5) Tanzania - 316,338,000 49,639,138
6) Pakistan - 261,271,000 196,174,380
7) Indonesia - 254,178,000 253,609,643 gain a bit
8) Democratic Republic of the Congo - 212,113,000 77,433,744
9) Philippines - 177,803,000 107,668,231
10) Brazil - 177,349,000 202,656,788
11) Uganda - 171,190,000 35,918,915
12) Kenya - 160,009,000 45,010,056
13) Bangladesh - 157,134,000 166,280,712 surprisely, india gain, bangladesh drop!
14) Ethiopia - 150,140,000 96,633,458
15) Iraq - 145,276,000 32,585,692
16) Zambia - 140,348,000 14,309,466
17) Niger - 139,209,000 14,309,466
18) Malawi - 129,502,000 16,407,000 Malawi so small!
19) Sudan - 127,621,000*
20) Mexico - 127,081,000 118,395,054

Okay so we have a pretty good idea of the immigration trend for the future. Looks East and West Africa will be providing immigrants to more developed regions. Europe, North America etc.
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Old 03-20-2015, 11:35 AM
 
Location: Buenos Aires, Argentina
1,025 posts, read 883,994 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Irene-cd View Post
I doubt brazil, argentina will become a hot bed for migrants from other places of the globe

maybe bolivians etc (next door folks)

if you knew demographics you'll know latin america is getting close to europe's we're screwed demographically, even worse because its not fully developed yet and its already aging fast
Well, I'm not sure I'm the one who should know more about demographics in this discussion, and certainly the *wealthier* countries of Latin America are following Europe's demographic transition. I had put Uruguay as an example of a country whose population may decline in the near future.

I don't expect ABC+Uruguay to receive huge quantities of immigrants, but in a future (2040s, 2050s) where those countries remain with relatively low population density compared to most of the world, some development, geographic adventages provided by both previous points, and maybe increasing social conflicts regarding immigration in the first world (especially Europe), may put these countries as a desirable destination for new waves of emigrants within an even more globalized world.
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Old 03-21-2015, 02:48 AM
 
Location: Pennsylvania
1,392 posts, read 1,373,694 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rams_Lord View Post
Other estimates:
2050
1) India- 1,656,554,000
2) China- 1,303,723,000
3) United States- 422,554,000
4) Nigeria- 402,426,000
5) Indonesia- 313,021,000
6) Pakistan- 290,848,000
7) Ethiopia- 278,283,000
8) Brazil- 260,692,000
9) Bangladesh- 250,155,000
10) Philippines- 171,964,000
I'd why like to see these other estimates since every estimate published shows China's population dropping by a few hundred million.
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Old 03-21-2015, 02:53 AM
 
Location: Pennsylvania
1,392 posts, read 1,373,694 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by improb View Post
This is nonsense, it's almost impossible to predict demographic changes in the long term, there are so many factors capable to influence birth rates and population change such as wars, epidemies, famines, governmental policies, mass immigration, ecc.

For example, at the turn of the century almost nobody was able to predict the sudden increase of immigration directed to Western European countries.
In the case of China due to the one child policy it's easy to predict a massive demographic decline since the fertility rate is extremely low do to that policy. Add in the extreme pollution in China and estimates showing China to run out of water by 2030 and the population of China could become only a tenth of what it currently is almost 100 years from now.
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Old 03-21-2015, 06:14 AM
 
1,689 posts, read 2,440,903 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cwa1984 View Post
In the case of China due to the one child policy it's easy to predict a massive demographic decline since the fertility rate is extremely low do to that policy. Add in the extreme pollution in China and estimates showing China to run out of water by 2030 and the population of China could become only a tenth of what it currently is almost 100 years from now.
and that is positive

do we really need BILLIONS UPON BILLIONS OF MOUTHS TO FEED?
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Old 03-21-2015, 06:24 AM
 
Location: London, UK
9,992 posts, read 10,789,102 times
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The UN should impose a one child policy. But because of ''Human rights'' wah wah we want to have 10 kids and burn down the woodland wah wah
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Old 03-21-2015, 08:57 AM
 
Location: Taipei
7,602 posts, read 6,014,553 times
Reputation: 5394
Quote:
Originally Posted by P London View Post
The UN should impose a one child policy. But because of ''Human rights'' wah wah we want to have 10 kids and burn down the woodland wah wah
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Old 03-21-2015, 11:45 AM
 
Location: Victoria TX
42,661 posts, read 78,550,415 times
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Don't worry, folks, it ain't gonna happen, or if it does happen, it won't be a problem. These projections are based on paradigms with today's technological and philosophical view, which is ridiculously short-sighted.

Go back to 1900, and see what population projections were like for 2000, based on the 1900 view of arable land, infant mortality, blunt-instrument military weaponry, monarchial/colonial institutions, public health, potable water, horse-velocity transport, etc.

How easy it is to assume that intellect has peaked out, and nothing new remains to be applied to the human condition, and from here on everything has straight-line predictability.
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Old 03-21-2015, 02:00 PM
 
Location: Chicago, IL
325 posts, read 318,258 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ThePage View Post
How about the decline in European population under legalized same-sex marriage?
We all know same-sex couples don't have kids.
( they want to adopt other people's children though !)
If the homosexual population continues to grow at the expense of traditional marriage how can a population grow? by relying on immigration when anti-immigration demonstrations are being held all other in western countries?
Anyone who is offended by what I said should come forward and demonstrated I'm wrong.
The legalization of same sex marriage has absolutely NO effect on population increase/decrease.
Banning gay marriage, likewise, has no effect on population either. The people who otherwise would be getting married are still gay and very unlikely to reproduce. Either way no one is making more or less babies.
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