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Old 03-22-2015, 01:36 PM
 
Location: Somewhere in Southern Italy
2,986 posts, read 2,336,467 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cwa1984 View Post
In the case of China due to the one child policy it's easy to predict a massive demographic decline since the fertility rate is extremely low do to that policy. Add in the extreme pollution in China and estimates showing China to run out of water by 2030 and the population of China could become only a tenth of what it currently is almost 100 years from now.
Like Irene already pointed out, that's a positive since we're already running out of resources to feed the 7 billion who currently inhabit earth. I think that your predition is a bit pessimistic, but East Asia's overall population is definitely going to decrease, China has already considered lifting the one child policy though and that could change things.
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Old 03-22-2015, 01:41 PM
 
Location: Somewhere in Southern Italy
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Quote:
Originally Posted by P London View Post
The UN should impose a one child policy. But because of ''Human rights'' wah wah we want to have 10 kids and burn down the woodland wah wah
A 2 child policy would be better (it would work only for countries whose birth rate exceeds 2,5) as that's the exact replacement rate but that would infringe human rights, specifically the right to reproduce.
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Old 03-22-2015, 01:49 PM
 
Location: Taipei
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Quote:
Originally Posted by improb View Post
China has already considered lifting the one child policy though and that could change things.
That's not gonna change much. China has entered the phase which people don't want that many children, like in most of the rich countries even though it's not even half as rich. Lifting one child policy could help a bit, but their birth rate won't grow much.
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Old 03-22-2015, 01:51 PM
 
Location: London, UK
9,992 posts, read 10,801,023 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by improb View Post
A 2 child policy would be better (it would work only for countries whose birth rate exceeds 2,5) as that's the exact replacement rate but that would infringe human rights, specifically the right to reproduce.
What about animal rights and Earth rights? I think Earth rights to be a thing,
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Old 03-22-2015, 02:38 PM
 
Location: Somewhere in Southern Italy
2,986 posts, read 2,336,467 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by P London View Post
What about animal rights and Earth rights? I think Earth rights to be a thing,
Yeah, come to think of it, many of these rights are often conflicting, that's the problem, you can't keep everyone happy, i don't think introducing that measure would help, the most correct way to decrease birth rates in third World countries would be to improve access to education (amongst this also sexual education, which would also decrease HIV)
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Old 03-22-2015, 02:41 PM
 
Location: Somewhere in Southern Italy
2,986 posts, read 2,336,467 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Greysholic View Post
That's not gonna change much. China has entered the phase which people don't want that many children, like in most of the rich countries even though it's not even half as rich. Lifting one child policy could help a bit, but their birth rate won't grow much.
Would still be a help, the population will keep falling anyway, i'm sure of that but it could certainly improve things.
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Old 03-25-2015, 09:24 PM
 
4,454 posts, read 6,153,225 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by samngchaoyu View Post
Countries that will drop in pop will have colour front!

Year 2100 NOW

1) India - 1,550,899,000 1,236,344,631
2) China - 941,042,000 1,355,692,576
3) Nigeria - 729,885,000 177,155,754 gain nearly 600 million people
4) United States - 478,026,000 318,892,103
5) Tanzania - 316,338,000 49,639,138
6) Pakistan - 261,271,000 196,174,380
7) Indonesia - 254,178,000 253,609,643 gain a bit
8) Democratic Republic of the Congo - 212,113,000 77,433,744
9) Philippines - 177,803,000 107,668,231
10) Brazil - 177,349,000 202,656,788
11) Uganda - 171,190,000 35,918,915
12) Kenya - 160,009,000 45,010,056
13) Bangladesh - 157,134,000 166,280,712 surprisely, india gain, bangladesh drop!
14) Ethiopia - 150,140,000 96,633,458
15) Iraq - 145,276,000 32,585,692
16) Zambia - 140,348,000 14,309,466
17) Niger - 139,209,000 14,309,466
18) Malawi - 129,502,000 16,407,000 Malawi so small!
19) Sudan - 127,621,000*
20) Mexico - 127,081,000 118,395,054
That is rather scary.
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Old 03-25-2015, 10:20 PM
 
Location: San Diego, California Republic
16,539 posts, read 24,001,399 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by samngchaoyu View Post
Countries that will drop in pop will have colour front!

Year 2100 NOW

1) India - 1,550,899,000 1,236,344,631
2) China - 941,042,000 1,355,692,576
3) Nigeria - 729,885,000 177,155,754 gain nearly 600 million people
4) United States - 478,026,000 318,892,103
5) Tanzania - 316,338,000 49,639,138
6) Pakistan - 261,271,000 196,174,380
7) Indonesia - 254,178,000 253,609,643 gain a bit
8) Democratic Republic of the Congo - 212,113,000 77,433,744
9) Philippines - 177,803,000 107,668,231
10) Brazil - 177,349,000 202,656,788
11) Uganda - 171,190,000 35,918,915
12) Kenya - 160,009,000 45,010,056
13) Bangladesh - 157,134,000 166,280,712 surprisely, india gain, bangladesh drop!
14) Ethiopia - 150,140,000 96,633,458
15) Iraq - 145,276,000 32,585,692
16) Zambia - 140,348,000 14,309,466
17) Niger - 139,209,000 14,309,466
18) Malawi - 129,502,000 16,407,000 Malawi so small!
19) Sudan - 127,621,000*
20) Mexico - 127,081,000 118,395,054
You should put more noticeable spaces or markers between the numbers. For the US I first read that as; four hundred seventy-eight quadrillion, twenty-six trillion, three hundred eighteen million, eight hundred ninety-two thousand, one hundred three.
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Old 03-25-2015, 10:28 PM
 
Location: San Diego, California Republic
16,539 posts, read 24,001,399 times
Reputation: 8833
Quote:
Originally Posted by P London View Post
What about animal rights and Earth rights? I think Earth rights to be a thing,
Isn't it amazing how we live on the earth but we don't think of it's health?
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Old 03-27-2015, 10:44 AM
 
Location: Gatineau, QC, Canada
3,402 posts, read 4,813,771 times
Reputation: 4420
Why is it not a major priority for these countries to try and battle their obviously problematic reproduction rates? Besides China anyways, that I know of.
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