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View Poll Results: Can Seattle overtake San Francisco in dominance?
Yes 24 14.63%
No 110 67.07%
Maybe 30 18.29%
Voters: 164. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 07-23-2019, 09:33 AM
 
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Now adays, I've seen from at least a few people on here that put San Francisco right after New York City, Los Angeles, and Chicago. I even saw someone said San Francisco was more dominant than Chicago, and even crazier, said the city is on an even playing field or even more powerful than LA??

Is San Francisco really this economically powerful? I see that vacancy rates are still going down and rents (retail and residential) are still going up. San Francisco is geographically constrained, (not just in land area but by mountains as well) and there is some reluctance to build tall apartment buildings (I believe there is a 40 foot height limit outside of downtown).

Do you think Seattle could possibly come to surpass San Francisco in most aspects? Seattle has grown at such an incredibly fast rate that now its only about 130,000 behind San Francisco in population. Seattle's skyline is about equal with San Francisco's right now and Seattle is about 80% larger in area.

All things considered, what is your opinion?
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Old 07-23-2019, 09:34 AM
 
Location: That star on your map in the middle of the East Coast, DMV
8,129 posts, read 7,575,946 times
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No.
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Old 07-23-2019, 09:37 AM
 
Location: Seattle
571 posts, read 1,174,400 times
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I could see Seattle surpassing SF proper in population only due to its larger land area and maaaaybe having a larger skyline at some point, but in all other aspects like density, transit options, prestige, culture, and international recognition........not likely.
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Old 07-23-2019, 09:37 AM
 
2,041 posts, read 1,525,160 times
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Fast response!
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Old 07-23-2019, 09:54 AM
 
Location: Philadelphia, PA
2,212 posts, read 1,453,243 times
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In our lifetime? Probably not. The Bay Area is an economic powerhouse. In the distant future, who knows! Every country is poised for economic and political upheaval at some point, not to mention to change in geopolitical structure the next "big one" is sure to bring.
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Old 07-23-2019, 10:33 AM
 
Location: New York City & Los Angeles
330 posts, read 294,525 times
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Very very very very very unlikely
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Old 07-23-2019, 12:04 PM
 
Location: Los Altos Hills, CA
36,660 posts, read 67,548,962 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by KoNgFooCj View Post
Now adays, I've seen from at least a few people on here that put San Francisco right after New York City, Los Angeles, and Chicago. I even saw someone said San Francisco was more dominant than Chicago, and even crazier, said the city is on an even playing field or even more powerful than LA??
You must have been beside yourself in shock

lol

Quote:
Is San Francisco really this economically powerful? I see that vacancy rates are still going down and rents (retail and residential) are still going up. San Francisco is geographically constrained, (not just in land area but by mountains as well) and there is some reluctance to build tall apartment buildings (I believe there is a 40 foot height limit outside of downtown).

Do you think Seattle could possibly come to surpass San Francisco in most aspects? Seattle has grown at such an incredibly fast rate that now its only about 130,000 behind San Francisco in population. Seattle's skyline is about equal with San Francisco's right now and Seattle is about 80% larger in area.

All things considered, what is your opinion?
Youre conflating a bunch of different topics.
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Old 07-23-2019, 12:12 PM
 
Location: Marshall-Shadeland, Pittsburgh, PA
32,620 posts, read 77,632,563 times
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I voted "no".

It IS likely that Seattle's city proper will become larger than San Francisco's. It IS likely that Seattle's skyline will outgrow San Francisco's.

On a metro area level, though, as well as on a GDP level and international prominence level I just don't see it.

There are a few San Francisco members on here who are a bit unrealistic, though, in thinking it's a rival of NYC. NYC is unparalleled in this country. Then it's L.A. Then Chicago. Then probably DC. If anything DC might continue its rise and overpower Chicago in the coming years to be third-most-important MSA.

I could see valid arguments for San Francisco, Dallas, Houston, Boston, and Philadelphia to all duke it out to be the 5th-most-important/dominant MSA in the country. I view Miami, Atlanta, and Seattle (and a few others) to be the next level down from there.
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Old 07-23-2019, 12:23 PM
 
2,304 posts, read 1,715,378 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SteelCityRising View Post
I voted "no".

It IS likely that Seattle's city proper will become larger than San Francisco's. It IS likely that Seattle's skyline will outgrow San Francisco's.

On a metro area level, though, as well as on a GDP level and international prominence level I just don't see it.
I agree with this 100%.

Quote:
Originally Posted by SteelCityRising View Post

There are a few San Francisco members on here who are a bit unrealistic, though, in thinking it's a rival of NYC. NYC is unparalleled in this country. Then it's L.A. Then Chicago. Then probably DC. If anything DC might continue its rise and overpower Chicago in the coming years to be third-most-important MSA.

I could see valid arguments for San Francisco, Dallas, Houston, Boston, and Philadelphia to all duke it out to be the 5th-most-important/dominant MSA in the country. I view Miami, Atlanta, and Seattle (and a few others) to be the next level down from there.
Not sure I fully agree with this - I think it's clearly NYC and then LA as the #1 and #2. But I would put SF right there with Chicago and DC in the next tier, or at the very least I'd put it closer to Chicago and DC than to Dallas or Boston.
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Old 07-23-2019, 02:04 PM
 
8,869 posts, read 6,878,641 times
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San Francisco is a city of 8,000,000 and Seattle is a little more than half that, broadly speaking.

City-of isn't terribly important...Seattle has more room to grow and is allowing a lot more growth...maybe we'll pass SF someday.

Downtowns...SF's core is quite a bit bigger and denser, but Seattle is growing at an astonishing pace, including way more highrises...we'll be a peer soon if this keeps going.

But I voted no overall. At least no anytime soon.
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