2019 City estimate prediction/Discussion (Atlanta, people, Boston, Chicago)

[btownboss4]

So City estimates come in in 1 week what do you think?

Three of my predictions from least to most likely are
1) Chicago Drops below its 2010 population (based on a steep drop in Cook County)

2) Pittsburgh registers a y/y growth (based on a pretty stable Allegheny County)

3) Atlanta surpasses 500,000

[cpomp]

Philadelphia hitting 1.6M? Hopeful, but probably not for another year or two.

[btownboss4]

Originally Posted by cpomp

Philadelphia hitting 1.6M? Hopeful, but probably not for another year or two.

Philly got its numbers out with counties, it lost ~200 people.

[scarbroo]

Baltimore loses another 3000-5000 people yearly, until something major changes.

Austin will gain 60,000 or around 2.5 percent.

Miami will gain about 30,000 new residents.

Chicago will continue losing around 3-6000 residents, maybe more, depending how hard it's hit, economically.

Seattle will gain slightly under 10,000 I believe.

Toronto will gain around 100,000, maybe less due to the economic impact.

[Chicagoland60426]

2019 estimates are out:

Atlanta surpasses 500k mark:
https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/fa...rgia/PST045219

[R1070]

Originally Posted by Chicagoland60426

2019 estimates are out:

Atlanta surpasses 500k mark:
https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/fa...rgia/PST045219

Nice! Finally. Hopefully there aren’t any 2020 adjustments that affect this.

[rnc2mbfl]

Originally Posted by R1070

Nice! Finally. Hopefully there aren’t any 2020 adjustments that affect this.

Interestingly, the 2019 estimate for Atlanta is still lower than the 2009 one. Let's hope that the Census got it right (or actually underestimated) this time around!

[btownboss4]

Boston, Cambridge, Chelsea, Somerville combined lost about 4,000 people y/y.

I think this is more of an adjustment than an actual population loss. It’s probably likely Boston just didn’t have 694,000 people in 2018 than it actually lost population.

Detroit lost 3,000, Pittsburgh lost 1,000. Cleveland lost 2,500.

Buffalo lost only 800 or so.

Providence gained about 1000 residents and is closing in on 10,000 ppsm.

[rnc2mbfl]

Originally Posted by btownboss4

2) Pittsburgh registers a y/y growth (based on a pretty stable Allegheny County)

Pittsburgh dropped several hundred more: down to 300,286.

[YIMBY]

Midwest Cities (250,000+):
City / 2019 Estimate / Change since 2010

Chicago: 2,693,976; -1,622
Columbus: 898,553; +111,520
Indianapolis: 876,384; +55,939
Detroit: 670,031; -43,746
Milwaukee: 590,157; -4,676
Kansas City: 495,327; +35,540
Omaha: 478,192; +69,234
Minneapolis: 429,606; +47,028
Cleveland: 381,009; -15,806
St. Paul: 308,096; +23,028
Cincinnati: 303,940; +6,997
St. Louis: 300,576; -18,718
Lincoln: 289,102; +30,723
Toledo: 272,779; -14,429