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In Michigan Baydoun/Foster a Democratic Party affiliated pollster has Obama +1 in the state while MRA has Romney +1.
Michigan is clearly in play and is a swing state. If it was not in play, Obama wouldn't be spending money here, having our Democratic Senators make robo-calls on his behalf and hosting events, and he wouldn't have visited here 11 times in a campaign setting.
Michigan is in play period.
Romney will be in Michigan on Tuesday next week. I may attend.
In Michigan Baydoun/Foster a Democratic Party affiliated pollster has Obama +1 in the state while MRA has Romney +1.
Michigan is clearly in play and is a swing state. If it was not in play, Obama wouldn't be spending money here, having our Democratic Senators make robo-calls on his behalf and hosting events, and he wouldn't have visited here 11 times in a campaign setting.
Michigan is in play period.
Romney will be in Michigan on Tuesday next week. I may attend.
In Michigan Baydoun/Foster a Democratic Party affiliated pollster has Obama +1 in the state while MRA has Romney +1.
Michigan is clearly in play and is a swing state. If it was not in play, Obama wouldn't be spending money here, having our Democratic Senators make robo-calls on his behalf and hosting events, and he wouldn't have visited here 11 times in a campaign setting.
Michigan is in play period.
Romney will be in Michigan on Tuesday next week. I may attend.
That being said, I've said this a million times before and I'll say it again (even though I'm sure you'll ignore me as always) - an incumbent's performance in polls is far more predictive than a challenger's performance...especially 5 months before an election. What's more important is the incumbent's approval rating. The last time an incumbent president overperformed their approval rating (nationally) as a percentage of the vote was Carter in 1980...yet he still lost in a landslide. Obama's approval is below 50% in the vast majority of polls - if not in every recent poll - in FL, NC, VA, OH, CO, and even PA.
Yes, no Republican has won WI in a presidential election since 1984 or MI since 1988.
The WI stat is a little misleading because in 2000 and 2004, Bush lost that state by small margins. So, with enough energy and GOTV, WI is certainly in play this cycle.
Heck, we should throw IA in there too. The Christian vote there won't be too happy with a gay-marriage supporting president.
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