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Predicting the outcome of a debate that hasn't happened yet, is like predicting what your wife will weigh a year from now. Guesses are almost useless.
So my guess is: I expect Obama to do about as well as he did in the 2nd debate, ditto for Romney.
Meaning, they will ties on technique (each will support his points to an approximately equal degree), but Romney will (once again) be able to point out Obama's failure for four years, which Obama will not be able to do to Romney. So Romney will keep and possibly extend his lead... and Obama gets no more chances.
And when more Republicans vote on Nov. 6 than Democrats (just as they did on Nov. 2010), unlike what most polls are hoping for, Romney will actually win the popular vote by some 6%, and win in Ohio, Florida, Virginia, Colorado, and possibly Pennsylvania, taking the Electoral College too.
Next debate is tonight. I expect Obama to do about as well as he did in the 2nd debate, ditto for Romney.
Meaning, they will ties on technique (each will support his points to an approximately equal degree), but Romney will (once again) be able to point out Obama's failure for four years, which Obama will not be able to do to Romney. So Romney will keep and possibly extend his lead... and Obama gets no more chances.
And when more Republicans vote on Nov. 6 than Democrats, unlike what most polls are hoping for, Romney will actually win the election by some 6%, and win in Ohio, Florida, Virginia, Colorado, and possibly Pennsylvania, taking the Electoral College too.
Sorry, Barack. Maybe next election.
Republicans live in a peculiar fantasy world. They are easily able to maintain their fantasy when FOX News and the GOP cultivate and sustain them.
However, election results are statistical and mathematical absolutes, and in this regard, your fantasies will end on Nov. 6th.
Tonight's debate is on foreign policy, one of Obama's weakest points, not that he has been particularly strong in any area.
I expect that Obama will come out swinging but with his record on foreign policy over the past four years, this is the last thing he needs right now, with Romney surging everywhere and the swing states that were solid Obama territory in 2008 neck and neck.
I give it to Romney. He hasn't failed in a debate yet, and, especially in the area of foreign policy, he appears strong and presidential next to Obama.
I think it will be a tie tonight. Obama will make the point that he inherited a MESS from Bush and that he has done well considering that the entire world is in a recession. People know that we'll be voting soon and we can't afford to have someone in office who only cares about the super rich, not about the country as a whole. We'll re-elect President Obama.
And when more Republicans vote on Nov. 6 than Democrats (just as they did on Nov. 2010), unlike what most polls are hoping for,
Virtually every poll, including the ones heavily skewed toward Democrats, have found that more than 90% of Republicans vote for Romney, while more than 90% of Democrats vote for Obama. Hardly surprising, of course. And they mostly find that everyone else goes about 2 to 1 for Romney.
But this means that the outcome of the election, depends almost entirely on how many of each group actually go to the polls and vote on Nov. 6.
The only company that actually counts how many Republicans and Democrats there are, is Rasmussen. And their latest count found about 2% more Republicans that Democrats, with Democrat voters diminishing especially in large cities (Obama's former stronghold).
So if Republicans and Democrats vote in proportion to their numbers, Romney will have the edge. And when Independents also vote, it becomes more lopsided for Romney.
And if a *greater* percentage of Republicans vote on Nov. 6, than the percentage of Democrats (as many polls find is likely), the advantage for Romney becomes even more lopsided.
Any way you slice it, the party appears to be over for Barack and his cohorts. They've been caught, and voters don't like what they have found.
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