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Trump continues to lead with every subgroup of the GOP electorate. He's at 29% with voters most concerned about electability, and 29% with voters most concerned about having a candidate who's sufficiently conservative. He's at 35% with Tea Party voters, and 27% with non-Tea Party voters. He's at 25% with Evangelicals, and 29% with non-Evangelicals. He's at 29% with moderates, 27% with 'somewhat conservative' voters, and 26% with 'very conservative' ones. He's at 31% with men, and 23% with women. And he's at 32% with young voters and 26% with seniors.
Yeah, young Republicans. In a general election, that's an absolutely useless percentage. Independent voters are key, and I simply can't see Trump doing well with them.
Yeah, young Republicans. In a general election, that's an absolutely useless percentage. Independent voters are key, and I simply can't see Trump doing well with them.
I think a big % of independents are, or are somewhat, anti-establishment. I'm an independent and I like Trump.
That's true, but I'm not sure that his anti-establishment persona would negate his flamboyance and arrogance (which are his two biggest obstacles).
His persona has not been an obstacle so far. I believe is biggest obstacle is the main stream media, but they continue to be unsuccessful at slowing him down.
He's at 29% with voters most concerned about electability, and 29% with voters most concerned about having a candidate who's sufficiently conservative. He's at 35% with Tea Party voters, and 27% with non-Tea Party voters. He's at 25% with Evangelicals, and 29% with non-Evangelicals. He's at 29% with moderates, 27% with 'somewhat conservative' voters, and 26% with 'very conservative' ones. He's at 31% with men, and 23% with women. And he's at 32% with young voters and 26% with seniors.
In what universe will that win him the nomination? Last I checked, he needs 50+%, anyway you cut it.
In what universe will that win him the nomination? Last I checked, he needs 50+%, anyway you cut it.
Except that it's not the voters who pick the nominee. The candidate with the majority of delegates will be the one that wins. Since a number of states award delegates in a winner take all system, it's plausible that a candidate can be nominated without 50% of the actual vote.
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