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Old 02-01-2016, 10:56 AM
 
26,578 posts, read 14,444,771 times
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just curious. i have seen a couple articles this morning pointing out problems with the polling numbers and trump himself admitting to being "a little bit nervous".

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/trump-...QDBHNlYwNzYw--
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Old 02-01-2016, 11:02 AM
 
Location: On the road
2,798 posts, read 2,677,083 times
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How would he "lose" Iowa. To lose something, you must have owned it at some point to start with.

There is no winning and losing in a state caucus like Iowa.
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Old 02-01-2016, 12:07 PM
 
Location: Asgard
1,185 posts, read 804,539 times
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Thing is, with Quinnipiac, Trump is +7 and that's within the margin.


If he loses Iowa to Cruz, that would be a big blow for him. But I don't see him losing Iowa. I think he will be first with Cruz second.


Rubio is fading away slowly. Donors will be watching this one big time. Not sure how Jeb could justify to his donors that he will be the nominee if he still comes up to about 6% in Iowa.
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Old 02-01-2016, 12:10 PM
 
Location: Southeast, where else?
3,913 posts, read 5,231,072 times
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It's Iowa....relax....if you start taking beatings in places like New York, California, Florida, Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Texas and Illinois, panic.....lot more electoral votes there...don't you think?
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Old 02-01-2016, 12:52 PM
 
Location: Home is Where You Park It
23,856 posts, read 13,749,968 times
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I think that as long as the caucus results are congruent with the polling - Trump and Cruz way in front - almost no one will think that the process is fraudulent. No matter which one wins.

There's no objective reason to get all hyped up about the Iowa results. The only reason anyone cares is that they're first.

Although it's true that a dismal showing in Iowa will tend to knock the also-rans out.
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Old 02-01-2016, 01:19 PM
 
Location: Eastern Tennessee
4,385 posts, read 4,389,618 times
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it depends on who the caucus goers who support the bottom candidates go when the bottom candidates don't have enough votes to be counted. If they predominantly break for Cruz he might win the majority. It is not winner take all though so..............
I'm more interested in the D race. I hope Sanders wins by at least 5% (and hopefully much higher)

Last edited by grampaTom; 02-01-2016 at 01:28 PM..
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Old 02-01-2016, 01:33 PM
 
Location: 500 miles from home
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No, I wouldn't think a thing about it. Cruz is pretty close.
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Old 02-02-2016, 07:57 AM
 
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Absolutely! Mr. Trump needs to mount an independent run!! Payback is a biatch!!

Mick
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Old 02-02-2016, 08:00 AM
 
10,234 posts, read 6,319,495 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MTQ3000 View Post
Absolutely! Mr. Trump needs to mount an independent run!! Payback is a biatch!!

Mick
Ever hear of Ross Perot? What happened to him, and the election?
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Old 02-02-2016, 08:05 AM
 
11,755 posts, read 7,117,231 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jo48 View Post
Ever hear of Ross Perot? What happened to him, and the election?
Clinton Won 2.0 sounds about right.

Mick
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