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It's been a question for a long time on just when Marco Rubio will break out. He obviously did very well in both Iowa and South Carolina, but rather more poorly in New Hampshire. Still, he seems to have the ability to capture a good portion of the vote and the the GOP establishment seems to believe eventually the tide will turn in his favor. How long can he go without a victory before they decide he isn't likely to win? Trump is most likely going to win Nevada. I think that is pretty much a forgone conclusion in everyones minds. Super Tuesday has long looked very favorable to both Trump and Cruz, but Cruzes inability to pull a victory in SC leaves it in doubt on just how well he will do. So with the likelihood that Trump and Cruz will win most if not all of the states does the support for Rubio still stand or begin to ebb?
My guess is that he needs to pull out some victories On March 1 to stay relevant. His biggest chances come in the form of Virginia, Colorado, and Minnesota which all have larger urban populations that give him stronger levels of support. I think that if he were to win those *And Michigan on March 8th* he would be well positioned for more delegate rich primaries that benefit Him over Cruz and Trump. However, I think that if he fails to secure any victories during Super Tuesday then there will be calls for him to drop out.
He has a chance to win some states but I don't think Michigan is one of them. Trump and even Kasich could do better in Michigan. Trump has been very vocal about losing manufacturing jobs to China and Mexico and about Ford building a plant in Mexico and Carrier leaving to Mexico. Michigan has been hit very hard by all of this.
For as long as it looks like they can get a brokered convention. Make no mistake, their support will not be as much about making Rubio win as it will be about trying to prevent Trump or Cruz from becoming the Republican nominee. Mine, too.
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It really depends on how willing you think "the Establishment" (who are they, anyways?) are to cut a deal with Cruz or Trump. Even if Rubio keeps pulling in at #2 or#3 he's the only game in town now.
It really depends on how willing you think "the Establishment" (who are they, anyways?) are to cut a deal with Cruz or Trump. Even if Rubio keeps pulling in at #2 or#3 he's the only game in town now.
Exactly.
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He has a chance to win some states but I don't think Michigan is one of them. Trump and even Kasich could do better in Michigan. Trump has been very vocal about losing manufacturing jobs to China and Mexico and about Ford building a plant in Mexico and Carrier leaving to Mexico. Michigan has been hit very hard by all of this.
You know it might be. He didn't do as well as most people thought he would in New Hampshire. It might mean that he doesn't have as much appeal in those states as people think.
For as long as it looks like they can get a brokered convention. Make no mistake, their support will not be as much about making Rubio win as it will be about trying to prevent Trump or Cruz from becoming the Republican nominee.
It's possible, but I really don't see a brokered convention either.
He won't for much longer as the candidates drop out Rubio will pick up their votes and funding, who do Jeb's votes and donors go to? Rubio maybe Kasich, when the smoke clears Trump and Cruz will have to battle out for the anti establishment votes while Rubio will be on easy street all by himself.
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