The Parallels Between 1912 and 2016 (campaign, Republicans, conservative, independent)

[Dole-McCain Republican]

While Politico is a left-wing site, this is an interesting article:

2016 Donald Trump Won't Last Lessons 1912 - POLITICO Magazine

Basically, the author is saying that Trump's political movement will die shortly after the 2016 election, just as TR's Bull Moose Party died not long after the 1912 election. And furthermore, even though the GOP split is very deep today, the party should be able to heal itself in time for 2020. That is because--if history is any guide--the deeply divided GOP of 1912 healed itself in time for 1916. (This wasn't stated in the article, but the GOP would have won the presidency in 1916 had Charles Evans Hughes--that year's GOP nominee--not been so overconfident of victory. As it was, Woodrow Wilson--who was a vulnerable incumbent--was re-elected narrowly.)

[mightleavenyc]

I looked up the Bull Moose party. Sadly, they were calling for campaign finance reform 100 years ago! Nothing changes,

[mkpunk]

I think it could be much worse than the 1912 election for the Republican Party, the Republicans were able to rebound for 1920 and I don't see the Republican Party surviving with the continual issues we have seen with them in the past decade whether neoconservatives, tea party or outsiders.

[X14Freak]

Historical analogies don't make a lot of sense when it doesn't take into account the vastly different demographics of the early 1910s to this current era. There are lots of reasons why Trumpism might disappear soon but there are also many reasons why Trumpism might continue to linger and play a big role in future politics.

[mkpunk]

Originally Posted by X14Freak

Historical analogies don't make a lot of sense when it doesn't take into account the vastly different demographics of the early 1910s to this current era. There are lots of reasons why Trumpism might disappear soon but there are also many reasons why Trumpism might continue to linger and play a big role in future politics.

The 1912 election was the end of the progressive wing of the Republican Party led by Teddy Roosevelt. In the next few years the more conservative side of the party that sided with Taft in 1908 and again in 1912, went to the 1920's with Coolidge and Hoover.

[imbobbbb]

Perhaps Trump will run independent in 2020.I doubt he'd win but it would sure screw the Republican Party and that might be reason enough if he feels they screwed him this time.