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Yes, indeed. I was more impressed with the silly justification after the fact that I quoted.
Mick
It's true that his keys are subjective, but I've been voting for a lot of years now, and I don't think objectivity is the controlling factor. Including my own objectivity.
If Bush or Kasich could have whipped up enthusiasm, either one could have been the nominee, and Clinton could well have lost. Bush and Kasich were seen - by everyone - as "typical" Rs. And they both have at least some voter appeal, obviously. But a "typical" R could get no traction this election cycle.
This Crazy election when have a proven Corrupt Mobster like HRC. the Polls have been skewed and Americans want a change. tis is possible because HRC should be at 80%
Trump may just surprises you Liberals who have crawled and cheated thru this process!
"Lichtman's prediction isn't based on horse-race polls, shifting demographics or his own political opinions. Rather, he uses a system of true/false statements he calls the "Keys to the White House" to determine his predicted winner."
Something for the hilbots to think about and get worked up over.
If this guy was predicting a Hillary win, you'd claim he was some crazy Marxist!
No, that would be bad assumption on your part. As I've stated more than a few times in other posts, polling is something that is at best an educated guess, often biased in approach depending on the methodology used, who is polled, the way the question is asked, etc. and nothing more. And trying to predict the unpredictable, ie, who will show up at the polls. Ask the brexit on that one/how they got that element wrong. So I trust none of them.
Are you kidding? 30 years of presidential elections?
You realize presidents are only elected every 4 years! Which brings his streak down to 7.5 elections...
Recently, it is almost impossible for a serving president not to be elected, so lets remove Obama2, Bush2, Clinton2, and Reagan2 that brings it back to 3.5.
Someone said he was wrong about Gore, subtract one.
So, basically this guy was right about two and a half elections. Big whoop.
Last edited by blktoptrvl; 10-23-2016 at 08:53 PM..
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