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According to RealClearPolitics (the mother of all objective polling data), Hillary now has 272 electoral votes "in the bag." These are now categorized as leans Clinton, likely Clinton or safe Clinton. So, even if Trump won EVERY battleground state, Hillary STILL WINS!
According to RealClearPolitics (the mother of all objective polling data), Hillary now has 272 electoral votes "in the bag." These are now categorized as leans Clinton, likely Clinton or safe Clinton. So, even if Trump won EVERY battleground state, Hillary STILL WINS!
What are your thoughts?
I don't like calling an election before people have voted.
I don't like calling an election before people have voted.
and, no, I am not voting for Trump.
I agree with this. It certainly *appears* Hillary has it in the bag right now, but predictions are a dangerous thing. Unless one is fond of having to eat their own words.
According to RealClearPolitics (the mother of all objective polling data), Hillary now has 272 electoral votes "in the bag." These are now categorized as leans Clinton, likely Clinton or safe Clinton. So, even if Trump won EVERY battleground state, Hillary STILL WINS!
What are your thoughts?
I would never say that Trump has zero chance. He absolutely has a non-zero chance of winning.
However, at this point he is entirely at the mercy of events external to his campaign. His only chances are for Clinton to somehow blow it (as Republican strategist Rick Wilson says, unless Clinton gets mauled by a bear she wins) or for some earth-shaking event to change the narrative. I won't go as far as Wilson, but basically Clinton would have to have some huge career-ending scandal blow up (the Trumplings are certain this is imminent - of course, they've been certain it was imminent for the last quarter century) or she would have to fall gravely ill (the Trumpling are also certain - and praying - that this is imminent). External events? Terror attack on a scale of 09/11 (unlikely, but the Trumplings can dream, right?), an economic collapse (almost impossible, much to their disappointment, no doubt), some unforeseen war (very unlikely, and Trump would probably blow it by heaping effusive praise on whichever dictator started it) or epic disaster that the administration botches (a la Hurricane Katrina - too bad for the Trumplings that this President isn't as incompetent as the last one).
I'd peg Clinton's chances at 90% right now.
No race has looked this over in mid-August since Reagan and Mondale in 1984.
I would never say that Trump has zero chance. He absolutely has a non-zero chance of winning.
However, at this point he is entirely at the mercy of events external to his campaign. His only chances are for Clinton to somehow blow it (as Republican strategist Rick Wilson says, unless Clinton gets mauled by a bear she wins) or for some earth-shaking event to change the narrative. I won't go as far as Wilson, but basically Clinton would have to have some huge career-ending scandal blow up (the Trumplings are certain this is imminent - of course, they've been certain it was imminent for the last quarter century) or she would have to fall gravely ill (the Trumpling are also certain - and praying - that this is imminent). External events? Terror attack on a scale of 09/11 (unlikely, but the Trumplings can dream, right?), an economic collapse (almost impossible, much to their disappointment, no doubt), some unforeseen war (very unlikely, and Trump would probably blow it by heaping effusive praise on whichever dictator started it) or epic disaster that the administration botches (a la Hurricane Katrina - too bad for the Trumplings that this President isn't as incompetent as the last one).
I'd peg Clinton's chances at 90% right now.
No race has looked this over in mid-August since Reagan and Mondale in 1984.
What makes it look over? The faked polls or your imagination?
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