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Old 04-22-2019, 06:33 PM
 
8,519 posts, read 8,895,146 times
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McAuliffe led Bill Clinton's re-election too. But apparently this isn't going to be his year to run.
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Old 04-22-2019, 08:28 PM
 
Location: Clyde Hill, WA
6,061 posts, read 2,024,343 times
Reputation: 2167
Quote:
Originally Posted by Spartacus713 View Post
Rep. Seth Moulton (D-MA)(???) tosses his hat into the race to become the 20th Democrat on the list.


Alrighty then. Still more to come. This is really going to be something.
20 declared, plus six expressing interest (including Biden).

I thought the list of 17 for the GOP in 2016 was crazy. I still wonder if the list had been more like the normal 3-5 if we would have gotten a president Rubio or Cruz instead of Trump.

It may be that the long list in fact favors the clownish candidates, as the others knock each other off. This does not portend well for the 2020 D nomination process.
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Old 04-23-2019, 05:44 AM
 
9,576 posts, read 7,393,700 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by travis t View Post
20 declared, plus six expressing interest (including Biden).

I thought the list of 17 for the GOP in 2016 was crazy.
Between the Iowa Caucus on February 3rd and the day after Super Tuesday, which is March 4th, those numbers will be drastically cut. I think for most of Democratic candidates, the game plan is to try and raise enough money to at least make it to March 3rd and Super Tuesday, after that there might only be 4-5 candidates left.
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Old 04-23-2019, 12:15 PM
 
19,573 posts, read 8,558,864 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cjseliga View Post
Between the Iowa Caucus on February 3rd and the day after Super Tuesday, which is March 4th, those numbers will be drastically cut. I think for most of Democratic candidates, the game plan is to try and raise enough money to at least make it to March 3rd and Super Tuesday, after that there might only be 4-5 candidates left.
Yeah, the first four primaries reduce the field in dramatic fashion, every time. Any candidate that finishes that stretch without at least a third place finish is almost certainly done. And you can work the math: 3 X 4 = 12 spots where they can finish 1,2 or 3 in the first four primaries.

Biden and Sanders are likely to occupy one of those spots in all four of these primaries (4 X 2 = 8). If that is correct, then there are four remaining tickets out of the first four primaries, and maybe less if other candidates place in more than one of these races.

Those in the know for the Democrats are likely to welcome this field being reduced to 4-5 candidates at this point. But the Democrat voters are likely to be a little shocked to see the speed that this happens and their actual choices remaining after it does.
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Old 04-24-2019, 08:00 AM
 
22,074 posts, read 9,643,436 times
Reputation: 19588
Quote:
Originally Posted by travis t View Post
20 declared, plus six expressing interest (including Biden).

I thought the list of 17 for the GOP in 2016 was crazy. I still wonder if the list had been more like the normal 3-5 if we would have gotten a president Rubio or Cruz instead of Trump.

It may be that the long list in fact favors the clownish candidates, as the others knock each other off. This does not portend well for the 2020 D nomination process.
You just don't understand Trump yet, do you?
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Old 04-25-2019, 04:35 AM
 
Location: Nowhere
10,098 posts, read 4,120,990 times
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So Biden is in. Apparently he is running on an "anti-white-supremacy" platform...or something.


It's like every single one of these clowns is trying to outdo each other in regressiveness.


I honestly would not want any single one of them to win over Trump.
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Old 04-25-2019, 06:44 AM
 
22,074 posts, read 9,643,436 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kavalier View Post
So Biden is in. Apparently he is running on an "anti-white-supremacy" platform...or something.


It's like every single one of these clowns is trying to outdo each other in regressiveness.


I honestly would not want any single one of them to win over Trump.
Oh, great. He's is going to go left. The one thing that gave him a shot was NOT going left.
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Old 04-25-2019, 01:16 PM
 
46,382 posts, read 27,249,607 times
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Dems in 2016 to repubs: How many more can get in the clown car?


Dems in 2019: Hold my beer....
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Old 04-27-2019, 09:24 AM
 
19,573 posts, read 8,558,864 times
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From the RCP Poll average:

Democratic Presidential Nomination
29.3 - Biden
23.0 - Sanders
08.3 - Harris
07.5 - Buttigieg
06.5 - Warren
06.3 - O'Rourke
03.5 - Booker
01.5 - Klobuchar
01.5 - Yang
01.3 - Castro
01.0 - Hickenlooper
00.8 - Gillibrand
00.7 - Ryan
00.5 - Gabbard
00.3 - Inslee
00.3 - Delaney

So if this poll is anything close to correct, despite the length of the list of candidates, we could actually be looking at a two-person race. While Biden is currently up over Sanders, all but probably 4-5 candidates will be out by the end of the first four primaries (Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, South Carolina - all smaller states).

When all of these extra candidates eventually withdraw, who will their supporters in the states after the first four support?
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Old 04-27-2019, 11:02 AM
 
22,074 posts, read 9,643,436 times
Reputation: 19588
Quote:
Originally Posted by Spartacus713 View Post
From the RCP Poll average:

Democratic Presidential Nomination
29.3 - Biden
23.0 - Sanders
08.3 - Harris
07.5 - Buttigieg
06.5 - Warren
06.3 - O'Rourke
03.5 - Booker
01.5 - Klobuchar
01.5 - Yang
01.3 - Castro
01.0 - Hickenlooper
00.8 - Gillibrand
00.7 - Ryan
00.5 - Gabbard
00.3 - Inslee
00.3 - Delaney

So if this poll is anything close to correct, despite the length of the list of candidates, we could actually be looking at a two-person race. While Biden is currently up over Sanders, all but probably 4-5 candidates will be out by the end of the first four primaries (Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, South Carolina - all smaller states).

When all of these extra candidates eventually withdraw, who will their supporters in the states after the first four support?
Sanders, of course. And he will win the nomination. Doesn't take a math genius to see that.
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