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BUT, Governor Palin DOES have a very bright future in Politics.! She is very smart and articulate. My guess is, if McCain/Palin do not get elected, she will finish her term as Governor and then run for Senator from Alaska. Then ......
BUT, Governor Palin DOES have a very bright future in Politics.! She is very smart and articulate. My guess is, if McCain/Palin do not get elected, she will finish her term as Governor and then run for Senator from Alaska. Then ......
We have not seen the last of Sarah Palin
She is articulate when prepared, but does not seem to do well at ad hoc interviews, then we get the 'Putin over Alaska' routine.
Palin will be nowhere to be found come 2012. She'll be remembered as the flash-in-the-pan that cost McCain this election.
No she is in great shape for the US senate and depending on what happens with Ted Stevens. If he wins and then has to step down she could step in to complete his term. That is a major if.
No she is in great shape for the US senate and depending on what happens with Ted Stevens. If he wins and then has to step down she could step in to complete his term. That is a major if.
"The closest recent parallel I can find to the Ted Stevens situation is that of former Ohio governor Bob Taft, who in August, 2005 was convicted on misdemeanor charges of failing to disclose gifts and golf trips paid for by lobbyists. Taft plead no contest and remained in office, but this didn't have a favorable effect on his approval ratings. He went from a 34-55 (-21) in a University of Cincinnati poll taken in April 2005 to a 26-65 (-39) in the same poll in August 2006, a net decline of 18 points.
Let's assume that Stevens will also suffer a decline in his net approval score of 18 points. Since he's at roughly 50/50 now, that would put him in the range of 40 percent approve, 60 percent disapprove. Our regression model uses approval ratings for incumbent senators as one of its inputs, and thinks a decline of this magnitude would cost a senator about 6 points in the polls ... actually, 5.8 points.
So what we're going to do is apply a 5.8 point penalty to Stevens' numbers in Alaska. Since the race was a toss-up before, this puts him about 6 points behind overall, making Mark Begich an 87 percent favorite to take his seat. That seems conservative to me, frankly, given that even the guys at RedState (http://www.redstate.com/diaries/redstate/2008/oct/27/redstate-endorses-mark-begich-democrat-for-s/ - broken link) are abandoning Stevens, but it's what we'll run with until there's some polling out." Source
Palin will be nowhere to be found come 2012. She'll be remembered as the flash-in-the-pan that cost McCain this election.
I think she'll run for the Senate. But she will never, ever be a Presidential candidate for the Republican party. If Obama wins this election, the Republican party will be cleaning house--big time--and all the right-wing nutcases who have dominated the party for the past 8 years, including Sarah Palin, will be kicked to the curb. There is already intense behind-the-scenes discussion and regrouping among traditional Republicans in D.C. and across the nation on how to take back the Republican party. If Obama wins, it's over for the wingnut neo-cons. Americans have had enough, as have the true conservatives.
This is why I hate that McCain chose a woman as his running mate. Palin will inevitable be blamed for his loss if he loses. We can't blame a man now can we? She is the reason he has as much life left in this campaign as he does. Palin reminds me of a player on a sports team that is the only one that doesn't know the team is throwing the game. She still wants to win.
If Stevens ran and won......and she were still governor having lost the VP position.....and if Steven were expelled from the Senate.....could she appoint herself to the Senate to replace him and vacate the office of governor?
I think she'll run for the Senate. But she will never, ever be a Presidential candidate for the Republican party. If Obama wins this election, the Republican party will be cleaning house--big time--and all the right-wing nutcases who have dominated the party for the past 8 years, including Sarah Palin, will be kicked to the curb. There is already intense behind-the-scenes discussion and regrouping among traditional Republicans in D.C. and across the nation on how to take back the Republican party. If Obama wins, it's over for the wingnut neo-cons. Americans have had enough, as have the true conservatives.
You don't know what kind of intense discussion and regrouping Republicans are doing behind the scenes. That is pure speculation. True conservatives never wanted to run McCain. Palin is the only thing that brought a lot of true conservatives back on board to vote for this ticket.
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Baked Alaska addition - 538
