Components of population change in the 12 most populous U.S. states (2012-2013) (2015)

[Craziaskowboi]

Population

38,332,521 - California
26,448,193 - Texas
19,651,127 - New York
19,552,860 - Florida
12,882,135 - Illinois
12,773,801 - Pennsylvania
11,570,808 - Ohio
9,992,167 - Georgia
9,895,622 - Michigan
9,848,060 - North Carolina
8,899,339 - New Jersey
8,260,405 - Virginia

Population change

+387,397 - Texas
+332,643 - California
+232,111 - Florida
+99,696 - North Carolina
+76,521 - Georgia
+75,002 - New York
+73,777 - Virginia
+31,590 - New Jersey
+17,777 - Ohio
+13,943 - Illinois
+13,103 - Michigan
+9,326 - Pennsylvania

Natural population increase

+253,067 - California
+208,045 - Texas
+88,211 - New York
+58,896 - Georgia
+56,774 - Illinois
+42,368 - Virginia
+38,364 - North Carolina
+34,017 - New Jersey
+33,421 - Florida
+27,004 - Ohio
+24,484 - Michigan
+15,778 - Pennsylvania

Births per 100,000 population

1,443.9 - Texas
1,322.9 - Georgia
1,313.9 - California
1,261.6 - Virginia
1,234.0 - Illinois
1,222.8 - New York
1,217.8 - North Carolina
1,179.3 - Ohio
1,177.3 - New Jersey
1,144.0 - Michigan
1,117.5 - Pennsylvania
1,102.4 - Florida

Deaths per 100,000 population

653.7 - California
657.3 - Texas
733.5 - Georgia
737.4 - Virginia
773.9 - New York
793.3 - Illinois
795.0 - New Jersey
828.3 - North Carolina
896.5 - Michigan
931.4 - Florida
945.9 - Ohio
994.0 - Pennsylvania

Birth/death ratio

2.20 - Texas
2.01 - California
1.80 - Georgia
1.70 - Virginia
1.58 - New York
1.56 - Illinois
1.48 - New Jersey
1.47 - North Carolina
1.28 - Michigan
1.25 - Ohio
1.18 - Florida
1.12 - Pennsylvania

Net domestic migration

+113,528 - Texas
+91,484 - Florida
+37,240 - North Carolina
+3,099 - Virginia
-6,347 - Georgia
-23,094 - Ohio
-28,539 - Michigan
-30,718 - Pennsylvania
-45,035 - New Jersey
-49,259 - California
-67,313 - Illinois
-104,470 - New York

Foreign immigration

+123,217 - California
+101,778 - New York
+99,454 - Florida
+64,187 - Texas
+46,373 - New Jersey
+29,762 - Virginia
+27,751 - Illinois
+24,996 - Pennsylvania
+22,343 - Georgia
+20,545 - North Carolina
+17,488 - Michigan
+15,708 - Ohio

Net total migration

+190,938 - Florida
+177,715 - Texas
+73,958 - California
+57,785 - North Carolina
+32,861 - Virginia
+15,996 - Georgia
+1,338 - New Jersey
-2,692 - New York
-5,722 - Pennsylvania
-7,386 - Ohio
-11,051 - Michigan
-39,562 - Illinois

Notes

1. The births and deaths per 100,000 population and the birth/death ratio are sorted based on their effects on population growth. The higher a state is on any of those lists, the greater the boost in population growth. The lower a state is on any of those lists, the greater the drag on population growth.

2. Net total migration is the sum of all inbound domestic migrants and foreign immigrants minus the number of outbound domestic migrants. It is assumed that foreign immigrants become part of the domestic population once arriving.

[rnc2mbfl]

It's surprising to me that Georgia had negative domestic migration.

[kidphilly]

Originally Posted by Gnutella

Population

38,332,521 - California
26,448,193 - Texas
19,651,127 - New York
19,552,860 - Florida
12,882,135 - Illinois
12,773,801 - Pennsylvania
11,570,808 - Ohio
9,992,167 - Georgia
9,895,622 - Michigan
9,848,060 - North Carolina
8,899,339 - New Jersey
8,260,405 - Virginia

Birth/death ratio

2.20 - Texas
2.01 - California
1.80 - Georgia
1.70 - Virginia
1.58 - New York
1.56 - Illinois
1.48 - New Jersey
1.47 - North Carolina
1.28 - Michigan
1.25 - Ohio
1.18 - Florida
1.12 - Pennsylvania

This is interesting

looking at TX birth rate is the driver more than any other factor

[Craziaskowboi]

Originally Posted by rnc2mbfl

It's surprising to me that Georgia had negative domestic migration.

I was shocked too, actually. I'm pretty sure it'll become positive again, though I'm also sure that it won't be as positive as it was in the 1980's or 1990's. I think Georgia is about to become a more "mature" state with a slower rate of growth. It won't be stagnant, but it won't grow like a weed either.

[Spade]

This looks to be the last year New York being the third most populous state.

[kidphilly]

Originally Posted by Spade

This looks to be the last year New York being the third most populous state.

would seem either next or the year after

end of the day I wish our elections would change from the current form to just electoral votes accumulated as opposed to all from one state

[rnc2mbfl]

Originally Posted by kidphilly

would seem either next or the year after

end of the day I wish our elections would change from the current form to just electoral votes accumulated as opposed to all from one state

Why? Those would just me gerrymandered like the congressional districts.

[rnc2mbfl]

Originally Posted by Gnutella

I was shocked too, actually. I'm pretty sure it'll become positive again, though I'm also sure that it won't be as positive as it was in the 1980's or 1990's. I think Georgia is about to become a more "mature" state with a slower rate of growth. It won't be stagnant, but it won't grow like a weed either.

Any significant slowing of growth would open the door to NC passing it in a few years. As it stands, NC is set to pass Michigan in short order. If it doesn't happen in the 2014 estimate, I will surely happen by 2015.