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Moderator edit. Premise for this debate: The U.S. Census shows how the population is changing. Do you see these changes happening rapidly, slowly, or at an acceptably anticipated rate?
Caveat, these numbers are not from the 2020 Census, they are from the April 1 2020 Demographic Analysis, but provided to help independent census researchers.
Haven't had time to look in detail.
The official 2010 number is 309M. 2020 ranges are 330-335.
For each of the Censuses 2010, 2000, and 1990 they released a massive list compiling the individual surnames in the U.S. The 1990 Census additionally including a compiled list of personal names but, sadly, the following Censuses didn't have that. These surname lists are great in that they show the frequency rating of various U.S. surnames over the decades.
Have you been able to find a similar surnames list for this 2020 Census? I haven't had time to look yet, myself, but if you've been poring over the 2020 Census and managed to find this, I'd appreciate a link!
For each of the Censuses 2010, 2000, and 1990 they released a massive list compiling the individual surnames in the U.S. The 1990 Census additionally including a compiled list of personal names but, sadly, the following Censuses didn't have that. These surname lists are great in that they show the frequency rating of various U.S. surnames over the decades.
Have you been able to find a similar surnames list for this 2020 Census? I haven't had time to look yet, myself, but if you've been poring over the 2020 Census and managed to find this, I'd appreciate a link!
I haven't been poring over, just looking at summary stuff. Haven't seen what you're looking for, and suspect that won't be released for months, if at all.
For each of the Censuses 2010, 2000, and 1990 they released a massive list compiling the individual surnames in the U.S. The 1990 Census additionally including a compiled list of personal names but, sadly, the following Censuses didn't have that. These surname lists are great in that they show the frequency rating of various U.S. surnames over the decades.
Have you been able to find a similar surnames list for this 2020 Census? I haven't had time to look yet, myself, but if you've been poring over the 2020 Census and managed to find this, I'd appreciate a link!
You can look up personal names by issuance of Social Security numbers. That won't give you a total population of people with a certain name, but you can view its relative popularity in any year, or see how its popularity rose and fell over the years.
It is interesting to see how much more name diversity there is today. For example, in 1919 5.6% of newborn girls were named Mary (no surprise). And combined, John/William/James/Robert accounted for nearly 18% of all newborn boys. Fast-forward a century and only one name each for girls and boys tops 1% of all newborns of that sex, and in each case barely so.
You can look up personal names by issuance of Social Security numbers. That won't give you a total population of people with a certain name, but you can view its relative popularity in any year, or see how its popularity rose and fell over the years.
It is interesting to see how much more name diversity there is today. For example, in 1919 5.6% of newborn girls were named Mary (no surprise). And combined, John/William/James/Robert accounted for nearly 18% of all newborn boys. Fast-forward a century and only one name each for girls and boys tops 1% of all newborns of that sex, and in each case barely so.
We've also been seeing some diversity in the form of an increase in Hispanic surnames.
While it doesn't look as though the U.S. Census Bureau has yet released the surname statistics for Census 2020, we do have the surname statistics for Censuses 1990, 2000, and 2010.
For anyone interested, I've prepared a graphic showing the rankings for the top twenty surnames in each of the three previous census years.
Changes in the "Top Twenty" over the three previous census years...
Twelve surnames have steadily dropped in rank: Anderson, Davis, Harris, Jackson, Martin, Moore, Robinson, Taylor, Thomas, Thompson, White, Wilson.
Six surnames showed little or no change in rank: Brown, Johnson, Jones, Miller, Smith, Williams.
Six surnames have steadily risen in rank: Garcia, Gonzalez, Hernandez, Lopez, Martinez, Rodriguez.
First official 2020 numbers out today.
331M+, the lower end of estimates, a 7.4% increase on 2010, the 2nd smallest increase in history. 7 seats will swap between 13 states. Texas is +2, everyone else is +1 or -1. Usual change, N.E. and M.W. lose, south and west gain.
County level numbers in September.
I know some geographers and from what they told me, Trump and Covid screwed up the 2020 census pretty badly. It is going to be quite inaccurate when compared to every other census since 1950, especially 2000 and 2010. The state level results indicate Latinos have been woefully undercounted.
Here's hoping 2030 is not such a cluster.
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