Atlantic - Nicole forms October 04, 2016 (days, storm, cyclone, degree)

[Psychoma]

Nicole forms October 04, 2016.

As of October 5, 2016 5am EST:
Winds 50mph, pressure 1005mb, moving WNW 6mph.

Official updates are released from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) at 2,5,8, and 11 am and pm EST here: National Hurricane Center

Satellite images of this storm can be found here:
Nicole - Satellite Products and Services Division - Office of Satellite and Product Operations

Overall Atlantic satellite images here:
Atlantic and Caribbean Tropical Satellite Imagery - Satellite Services Division / Office of Satellite Data Processing and Distribution

[Cambium]

Was forecasted to weaken to a depression now I see they have it as a TS continuing. Busy Atlantic.

[Cambium]

If you are further than 40 miles from where the center is you wont get sustained hurricane force winds but you can still get gusts.

https://twitter.com/growingwisdom/st...36810392080385

[Cambium]

Nicole is drunk just spinning around aimlessly in the Atlantic.




At least she has a partner or driver near her

[Psychoma]

Picture of forecast cone track map above updates, as you can see it's a hurricane now at 2pm update.

[sanspeur]

What happens if Nicole and Matthew join forces?

[Cambium]

Originally Posted by sanspeur

What happens if Nicole and Matthew join forces?

Not happening. Not sure if thats even possible to happen. Matthew would just absorb the moisture from Nicole. Its not like Nicole is added fuel and they would become a super storm. It would actually interfere with Matthew and cause structural changes and track

Hurricanes like to work alone I believe. They need oxygen and outflow. If a storm was moving closer it would start to choke it off.

[metalmancpa]

No steering currents which is why Nicole should be no threat as it sits and spins, and why Matthew is forecasted to take a turn back down south.

[Thunder98]

Originally Posted by Cambium

Nicole is drunk just spinning around aimlessly in the Atlantic.




At least she has a partner or driver near her

That 0% tropical wave is trying to be like cool like Matthew

[Cambium]

Nicole is Cat 2 now? What the? WOW!


BULLETIN
HURRICANE NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016
500 AM AST FRI OCT 07 2016

...NICOLE WEAKENS A LITTLE WHILE DRIFTING SOUTHWARD...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.3N 65.2W
ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM S OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...S OR 180 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nicole was located
near latitude 27.3 North, longitude 65.2 West. Nicole is drifting
southward, and a slightly faster southward motion is expected
tonight and on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 100 mph (155 km/h)
with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next
48 hours.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles
(150 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb (28.65 inches).

HURRICANE NICOLE DISCUSSION NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152016
500 AM AST FRI OCT 07 2016

Nicole no longer has an eye in infrared satellite imagery, and the
cloud pattern suggests that 30 kt of northwesterly shear is
beginning to offset the deep convection to the southeast of the
center. Dvorak final-T numbers from TAFB and SAB have decreased,
so the initial intensity is set at 85 kt as a blend of the final-T
and CI numbers. Strong vertical shear is expected to persist over
Nicole, increasing and turning out of the north during the next
several days. As a result, continued weakening is anticipated, and
the intensity models indicate that Nicole's winds should gradually
diminish in strength through day 4. By day 5, the vertical shear
may decrease, and Nicole could regain some strength at the end of
the forecast period. The NHC intensity forecast closely follows
the ICON intensity consensus, which puts it slightly below the
previous forecast for much of the forecast period.

There has been no recent microwave data to help locate the center,
but cloud motions suggest that Nicole is drifting southward. The
overall steering currents are expected to remain weak for several
more days. However, for the next 48 hours, Nicole will be situated
between a digging shortwave trough and a mid-level high between it
and Hurricane Matthew, which should cause Nicole to move slowly
southward. After that time, the cyclone could be close enough to
Matthew's circulation to cause it to turn northward. While the
track models don't agree on how far south Nicole will move, they do
all generally show the same solutions of very little net motion
through five days. The updated NHC track is adjusted from the
previous track forecast toward the various consensus aids.