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Old 03-26-2015, 06:23 PM
 
3,452 posts, read 4,930,620 times
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I have some Canadian oil ETFs as a hedge against a falling USD. I'm Canadian and my unhedged US funds were purchased at an average price of 90 US cents to the CAD. I actually purchased those US dollar funds as a hedge against oil but added too much to them, and now I have to reverse and hedge the hedge. If the negative correlation between oil and the USD breaks down, I'm toast.
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Old 03-26-2015, 07:44 PM
 
Location: Greater NYC, USA
2,761 posts, read 3,429,747 times
Reputation: 1737
Quote:
Originally Posted by bmw335xi View Post
You were just complaining that you are throwing money away buying as its been dropping. You are still below your breakeven, but are now hoping it drops more. Learn from your mistakes.
I was averaging and thus not bellow anymore. I got oil for long term (that means year +), it's like a CD with a maturity date. .
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Old 03-26-2015, 08:22 PM
 
26,194 posts, read 21,605,372 times
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Originally Posted by DPolo View Post
I was averaging and thus not bellow anymore. I got oil for long term (that means year +), it's like a CD with a maturity date. .

It's actually nothing like a cd
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Old 03-26-2015, 08:28 PM
 
2,401 posts, read 3,258,475 times
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Originally Posted by DPolo View Post
I was averaging and thus not bellow anymore. I got oil for long term (that means year +), it's like a CD with a maturity date. .
Like a CD how?
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Old 03-26-2015, 08:32 PM
 
24,409 posts, read 26,996,202 times
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Originally Posted by DPolo View Post
I was averaging and thus not bellow anymore. I got oil for long term (that means year +), it's like a CD with a maturity date. .
You really need to learn now, while the market is still a bull, otherwise I strongly believe you will be another bad statistic. It is absolutely nothing like a CD with a maturity date. If only it were that easy lol.
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Old 03-26-2015, 08:45 PM
 
Location: Greater NYC, USA
2,761 posts, read 3,429,747 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bmw335xi View Post
You really need to learn now, while the market is still a bull, otherwise I strongly believe you will be another bad statistic. It is absolutely nothing like a CD with a maturity date. If only it were that easy lol.
So your saying that oil will be cheap for ever ?
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Old 03-26-2015, 08:57 PM
 
24,409 posts, read 26,996,202 times
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Originally Posted by DPolo View Post
So your saying that oil will be cheap for ever ?
I'm saying buying OIL or USO or whatever is not a certain thing. It is not like a CD with a maturity date. It could take years to recover and possibly may never recover. It could drop another 50%, who knows. It is a risky investment and certainly is not risk free or even low risk. There is a reason why every millionaire and billionaire aren't piling their money into these things.
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Old 03-26-2015, 09:00 PM
 
2,401 posts, read 3,258,475 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bmw335xi View Post
I'm saying buying OIL or USO or whatever is not a certain thing. It is not like a CD with a maturity date. It could take years to recover and possibly may never recover. It could drop another 50%, who knows. It is a risky investment and certainly is not risk free or even low risk. There is a reason why every millionaire and billionaire aren't piling their money into these things.
Let him explain why he thinks buying oil now is like buying a CD first. He may see something that you don't.
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Old 03-26-2015, 09:04 PM
 
Location: Greater NYC, USA
2,761 posts, read 3,429,747 times
Reputation: 1737
Quote:
Originally Posted by bmw335xi View Post
I'm saying buying OIL or USO or whatever is not a certain thing. It is not like a CD with a maturity date. It could take years to recover and possibly may never recover. It could drop another 50%, who knows. It is a risky investment and certainly is not risk free or even low risk. There is a reason why every millionaire and billionaire aren't piling their money into these things.
Your saying that you are not certain that oil will trade at least at $65 by year end ?
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Old 03-26-2015, 09:10 PM
 
Location: NE Mississippi
25,590 posts, read 17,310,316 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DPolo View Post
Your saying that you are not certain that oil will trade at least at $65 by year end ?
I don't think anyone can answer that. Keep in mind that war in Yemen could close the pathway for oil tankers.
Oil extends rally as Yemen turmoil threatens tanker route - Houston Chronicle
Quote:
Yemen, which has fallen into civil war as Houthi rebels tighten their grip on the country, doesn't produce a significant amount of oil. But it borders massive producer Saudi Arabia and lies on one side of the Bab el-Mandeb Straits, a narrow crossing that tankers use to access the Red Sea from the south.
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