Welcome to City-Data.com Forum!
U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Economics > Investing
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
Reply Start New Thread
 
Old 07-07-2015, 08:18 PM
 
1,500 posts, read 2,902,026 times
Reputation: 3608

Advertisements

Quote:
Originally Posted by andywire View Post
I meant to post this in the investing forum. Hopefully a mod can move this...
Moved per request.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message

 
Old 07-07-2015, 10:05 PM
 
3,452 posts, read 4,927,543 times
Reputation: 6229
Not sure if someone touched upon it but did you hold the ETF overnight at any time? Inverse ETFs are not supposed to be held from one trading day to another.

If you live in Detroit, why would you be spooked by the Chinese government? Lol
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-07-2015, 10:10 PM
 
26,191 posts, read 21,587,222 times
Reputation: 22772
Quote:
Originally Posted by arctic_gardener View Post
Not sure if someone touched upon it but did you hold the ETF overnight at any time? Inverse ETFs are not supposed to be held from one trading day to another.

If you live in Detroit, why would you be spooked by the Chinese government? Lol

It's not the inverse funds that are an issue so much but rather the levered funds which rebalance daily
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-08-2015, 03:06 AM
 
1,906 posts, read 2,038,831 times
Reputation: 4158
I was thinking about this ETF during a long drive and I realized something and this morning after I got up I checked it out and sure enough. This ETF is trying to mimic an index that isnt even trading while the ETF itself is trading. So if you look at say a 5 day chart then you will notice its mostly flat during trading hours and only makes gains/losses from overnight (normal China trading hours) movement and the daily rebalancing. I would be very careful with this ETF because firstly its a 3x and secondly because I am not real sure I understand exactly how they are getting their gains. With such high volatility in the underlying index and the requirement to hold this overnight I wouldn't dare touch this ETF.

Perhaps there is a market its trading on thats open during Chinese hours?

I would be interested to know more about this ETF if anyone has any insight, purely from a curiosity standpoint.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-08-2015, 06:25 AM
 
26,191 posts, read 21,587,222 times
Reputation: 22772
Quote:
Originally Posted by justanokie View Post
I was thinking about this ETF during a long drive and I realized something and this morning after I got up I checked it out and sure enough. This ETF is trying to mimic an index that isnt even trading while the ETF itself is trading. So if you look at say a 5 day chart then you will notice its mostly flat during trading hours and only makes gains/losses from overnight (normal China trading hours) movement and the daily rebalancing. I would be very careful with this ETF because firstly its a 3x and secondly because I am not real sure I understand exactly how they are getting their gains. With such high volatility in the underlying index and the requirement to hold this overnight I wouldn't dare touch this ETF.

Perhaps there is a market its trading on thats open during Chinese hours?

I would be interested to know more about this ETF if anyone has any insight, purely from a curiosity standpoint.


You can read up here and call them if you have more questions

China Bull & Bear 3x ETF | YINN, YANG Funds | Direxion Investments
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-08-2015, 07:08 AM
 
Location: Metro Detroit, Michigan
29,825 posts, read 24,908,096 times
Reputation: 28520
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lowexpectations View Post
You would have had to time the bottom fairly closely to be up 30%. With your panic selling for not understanding the news and your lack of understanding of how this ETF works I would question your stated return. It's either total luck or bs
Hardly luck. Chinese stock market bubble was as obvious as they come.

This ETF was bound to reflect the magnitude of the correction.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-08-2015, 07:51 AM
 
12,022 posts, read 11,572,686 times
Reputation: 11136
Leveraged ETF's have time decay because of the derivatives used. As a result, there are traders who only short the ETF's by shorting the bull ETF to get short and shorting the bear ETF to get long.

http://seekingalpha.com/article/1864...leveraged-etfs
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-08-2015, 07:54 AM
 
26,191 posts, read 21,587,222 times
Reputation: 22772
Quote:
Originally Posted by andywire View Post
Hardly luck. Chinese stock market bubble was as obvious as they come.

This ETF was bound to reflect the magnitude of the correction.


No given the timeframe and return you posted it's either bs or luck, not that your call was luck but rather the total return/timing the bottom or top if you will
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-08-2015, 04:41 PM
 
Location: Metro Detroit, Michigan
29,825 posts, read 24,908,096 times
Reputation: 28520
Sold today around $103. That's probably a 75% gain at least.

Will jump in again, as this is my 2nd go round with shorting China in the past month. Last time I made out with an easy 25% gain.

Holding these things overnight is scary as hell, but necessary at times to see full returns.

I appreciate everyone's input, as this has been a fun learning opportunity.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lowexpectations View Post
No given the timeframe and return you posted it's either bs or luck, not that your call was luck but rather the total return/timing the bottom or top if you will
Sure.

As was my recent call on the VIX several weeks ago... Correct? And my similarly timed call for dumping stocks?

Last edited by andywire; 07-08-2015 at 04:49 PM..
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-09-2015, 10:18 AM
 
Location: Metro Detroit, Michigan
29,825 posts, read 24,908,096 times
Reputation: 28520
Bought a relatively small amount today at 89 something. I will probably loose a bit for awhile, as the easy money has been made.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.


Reply
Please update this thread with any new information or opinions. This open thread is still read by thousands of people, so we encourage all additional points of view.

Quick Reply
Message:


Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Economics > Investing
Similar Threads

All times are GMT -6. The time now is 08:29 PM.

© 2005-2024, Advameg, Inc. · Please obey Forum Rules · Terms of Use and Privacy Policy · Bug Bounty

City-Data.com - Contact Us - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37 - Top