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Old 08-05-2020, 09:50 PM
 
24,409 posts, read 26,986,736 times
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I think stocks like TSLA (clean energy), SWBI (rush to buy guns), CGC (marijuana legalization) will be some that will soar with a Biden/Democratic win. I imagine we will at the very least see an extension of tax credits for clean energy, people will rush even more than they are now to buy guns and recreational marijuana could be legalized on the federal level.


Feel free to answer the same question if Trump wins as well...
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Old 08-05-2020, 10:09 PM
 
Location: Was Midvalley Oregon; Now Eastside Seattle area
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No idea.
Which is why I have a large cash hoard and high spec equity.
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Old 08-06-2020, 12:49 AM
 
3,452 posts, read 4,930,620 times
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The stock market overall will rise because anybody who is not Trump will likely do more to combat this pandemic and ultimately that's what is needed for the economy to recover.

A Trump win in the long term is really bad for the economy.
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Old 08-06-2020, 04:10 AM
 
591 posts, read 253,078 times
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None, unless they are government-propped (Solyndra).
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Old 08-06-2020, 06:04 AM
 
Location: North Texas
3,503 posts, read 2,667,654 times
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The same as with Obama giving investors fantasic market returns earning me $750K.
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Old 08-06-2020, 07:43 AM
 
Location: Oregon, formerly Texas
10,069 posts, read 7,247,467 times
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Health insurance stocks will fall.
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Old 08-06-2020, 07:48 AM
 
2,676 posts, read 2,630,522 times
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I purchased November QQQ Puts to profit should a change occur, and will add to that position in September if the market is still holding up by then.

For the status quo, I have long term QQQ calls (January / December 2022) covering my cash position, and I'm long QQQ, DIA, and SPY (hedged with strangles).

I also have a decent amount of CRSP and EDIT and a few smaller similar companies, which I expect to do well in the next few years regardless.

So other than the extra QQQ Puts, I'm not doing anything different.
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Old 08-06-2020, 07:56 AM
 
5,181 posts, read 3,100,236 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by redguard57 View Post
Health insurance stocks will fall.
Why do you think that will happen? Health insurance companies saw their share prices increase dramatically when Obamacare was enacted — it placed a government guarantee on their premiums. Good ol’ Joe will make sure his donors are taken care of and the health care lobby is a big player.
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Old 08-06-2020, 08:13 AM
 
Location: Oregon, formerly Texas
10,069 posts, read 7,247,467 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TimAZ View Post
Why do you think that will happen? Health insurance companies saw their share prices increase dramatically when Obamacare was enacted — it placed a government guarantee on their premiums. Good ol’ Joe will make sure his donors are taken care of and the health care lobby is a big player.
The Democrats are getting more liberal not less. Look at the primaries that just happened. Younger quasi-socialists in their 30s and 40s who never experienced the 20th century are replacing more and more of the old Boomer Democrats who came into theor own in the 70s, 80s and 90s when liberalism was at its low ebb.

Any new health care reform is going to be more Bernie influenced than what we got in 2010. His faction is gaining stregnth, not weakening. Biden's old allies are being replaced, and soon enough so will he. Think about it - I can name several young Bernie heir apparents. Can you think of anyone who will replace Biden and be the same? They're all old like him.

A public option is going to be the centerpiece of any new health care reform.

Last edited by redguard57; 08-06-2020 at 08:23 AM..
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Old 08-06-2020, 08:18 AM
 
5,181 posts, read 3,100,236 times
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Originally Posted by redguard57 View Post
Any new health care reform is going to be more Bernie influenced than what we got in 2010. A public option is going to be the centerpiece of it.
So Uncle Sam will pay Aetna directly instead of funneling the money through policy holders first. Aetna will appreciate elimination of the middle man in the deal.
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