Welcome to City-Data.com Forum!
U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Go Back   City-Data Forum > U.S. Forums > New Jersey
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
 
Old 03-20-2009, 08:28 AM
 
1,552 posts, read 4,636,734 times
Reputation: 509

Advertisements

The NPR radio program "This American Life" has done two excellent radio episodes devoted to the housing bubble and its collapse. These programs are available in podcast format free of charge, to listen to on your computer or your i-Pod.

The first one, done back in May 2008, almost evokes a feeling of nostalgia for the time back when the idea of a Second Great Depression seemed remote. Nonetheless, it's a good introduction to the housing bubble from the early days of the collapse:

This American Life

Recently, they've done another program on the related issue of the bank failures:

This American Life

For any of you out there with i-Pods and a long commute, these are perfect to listen to on the train, or you can listen to the podcast from your computer. They're not nearly as dry and boring as you would expect from a radio program talking about finances -- they're very well done.

Here's a bit of the transcript from near the end of the second episode, after all the analysis of the housing bubble, the financial crisis, and the bail outs:

"We’re looking at a graph, and it's, basically, a measure of how much debt we the citizens of America, are in. How much we all owe--on our mortgages and credit cards and auto loans--compared to the economy as a whole, the GDP. And for most of history, the amount we owed was a lot smaller than the economy as a whole. This ratio, household debt to GDP bounces along around between 30 and 50 percent, for most of the '30s and '40s 50s, 60s, and 70s, right into the 80s. Then it breaks through 50 % in the 80s, starts heading up in the 1990s. And then .. from 2000 to 2008, it just goes, almost a hockey stick, it goes dramatically upward.

Like a rocket.

It hits 100% of GDP. That is to say, currently, consumers own 13 trillion dollars when the GDP is $13 trillion. That’s a $100 trillion owed by individuals. That is a ton.

Has there ever been a time where we owed that much before?

Guess what? The earlier peak, which is way over on the left part of the chart, where debt is 100% of GDP, was in 1929. This is a map of twin peaks. One in 1929 and one in 2007.

That chart is the most striking piece of evidence that I have that what is happening to us is something that goes way beyond toxic assets in banks, it’s something that had little to do with mortgage securitization, or ethics on Wall Street, or anything else. It says the problem is us. The problem is not the banks, greedy though they may be, overpaid though they may be. The problem is us. We have over-borrowed. We have been living very high on the hog. We are, our standard of living has been rising dramatically over the last 25 years, and we have been borrowing to make much of that prosperity happen."

We've been living a lie. And more consumption, more spending, more lending and more borrowing is the absolute worst thing we can do right now. We are like heroin junkies who think that another hit is going to solve our problems, except our drug is debt and consumption.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message

 
Old 03-20-2009, 11:04 AM
 
364 posts, read 827,063 times
Reputation: 101
Wow!!!!! Good links.

Thanks a lot.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 03-20-2009, 12:15 PM
 
Location: New Jersey
4,184 posts, read 5,071,067 times
Reputation: 4233
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lusitan View Post
more consumption, more spending, more lending and more borrowing is the absolute worst thing we can do right now.
funny thing is, when W was engaged in deficit spending, the republican spin machine had us believe that it was the right thing to do.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 03-20-2009, 12:21 PM
 
1,552 posts, read 4,636,734 times
Reputation: 509
Quote:
Originally Posted by JG183 View Post
funny thing is, when W was engaged in deficit spending, the republican spin machine had us believe that it was the right thing to do.
Yes, you know NPR is nothing but a right-wing radio station run by the Republican spin machine, right?

You can try to avoid the uncomfortable topic with lame jabs at Bush, but it doesn't get you anywhere when it comes to dealing with reality.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 03-20-2009, 12:32 PM
 
Location: NJ
392 posts, read 842,817 times
Reputation: 191
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lusitan View Post
Yes, you know NPR is nothing but a right-wing radio station run by the Republican spin machine, right?

You can try to avoid the uncomfortable topic with lame jabs at Bush, but it doesn't get you anywhere when it comes to dealing with reality.
Reality and JG183 - not cosmic neighbors.

Thank for the links. Excellent work by NPR.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 03-20-2009, 12:36 PM
 
Location: New Jersey
4,184 posts, read 5,071,067 times
Reputation: 4233
no no, I agree that the overspending by consumers (especially those who had no business buying the things they did) was a root cause.

but, the deed is done -- and if more spending (in the short term) is what's needed to get out us of the hole, then I'm all for it. It just has to be the right amount of spending, and on the right things... e.g. our nation's infrastructure is long overdue for repairs/upgrades.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 03-20-2009, 12:41 PM
 
744 posts, read 1,407,215 times
Reputation: 182
Quote:
Originally Posted by JG183 View Post
no no, I agree that the overspending by consumers (especially those who had no business buying the things they did) was a root cause.

but, the deed is done -- and if more spending (in the short term) is what's needed to get out us of the hole, then I'm all for it. It just has to be the right amount of spending, and on the right things... e.g. our nation's infrastructure is long overdue for repairs/upgrades.
Yes because the best way to fix the problem of being over-leveraged is to double down and borrow some more.

Actually I do play poker sometimes, that does occasionally turn out well

I must admit though if idiots (other than the Fed which is making things confusing by messing with the market) are willing to loan the US government money at super low interest rates then take it while the getting it good, since one day they won't be willing to do so.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 03-20-2009, 04:57 PM
 
20,349 posts, read 19,953,413 times
Reputation: 13467
Well, if I read correctly, the govt decided two days ago to print up a whole, big sh**load of money.

That's going to make things interesting.

Dems, Repubs same players, different uniforms IMO.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 03-20-2009, 05:27 PM
 
3,269 posts, read 9,940,951 times
Reputation: 2025
Thanks for the links...will listen later when little people aren't running around and jumping on me.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.


Reply
Please update this thread with any new information or opinions. This open thread is still read by thousands of people, so we encourage all additional points of view.

Quick Reply
Message:


Settings
X
Data:
Loading data...
Based on 2000-2022 data
Loading data...

123
Hide US histogram


Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > U.S. Forums > New Jersey

All times are GMT -6.

© 2005-2024, Advameg, Inc. · Please obey Forum Rules · Terms of Use and Privacy Policy · Bug Bounty

City-Data.com - Contact Us - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37 - Top