Quote:
Originally Posted by Threerun
The consequences to the US are how financial markets will behave with regards to action (or inaction) That prediction is not quite good at the moment.
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Financial markets are irrelevant.
Financial markets do not drive a State's economy. Production and Trade is what drives an economy.
Financial markets are not an indicator of past, present or future economic performance.
The stock market loses 40.9% of its "value" over a period of 959 days.
Characterize the state of the economy during that time.
Answer:
GDP growth was averaging an astounding 12.5% per quarter = economics fail for you.
That actually happened September 1939 to April 1942
For those who believe stock markets matter, I have a few bridges you might be interested in buying.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ambient
But we won't have enough for the people depending on Social Security, the veterans expecting benefits, etc.
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Yes, you will.
Social Security taxes may only be used for Social Security. At at present Social Security does not collect enough money in monthly revenues to pay 100% of benefits, and must draw down from the Trust Fund.
In July, Social Security lost $3.1 Billion. In August, Social Security lost $8.5 Billion
Data for September has not been published, however historical data shows Social Security will lose between $8 Billion and $11 Billion each month through December.
If Social Security fails to collect a sufficient amount of money, it has a computer generated prioritization scheme, paying full benefits to those sole sources and those not subject to the taxation of benefits first, and then apportions the balance to the remaining recipients.
In plain English, those who receive a $3,500/monthly pension, plus $1,900/monthly Social Security benefits get their Social Security cut. Those whose only source is their $1,100 month Social Security check get 100% of benefits.
The VA has the scheme, although it operates differently, since the VA does not collect a direct tax to pay VA benefits.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Threerun
Neither side can hardly claim any moral ground in this matter.
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Why not?
If not now, when?
This whole thing with the Debt Ceiling is like having a warrant for your arrest, with private bounty hunters chasing you down.
If you want to stop running and hiding from the bounty hunters for the rest of your life, then you'll have to surrender.
Recessions are about the efficient use of Capital, and often that Capital is Labor (but not always).
It's a Global Economy. Get over it already. American workers are inefficient, because they cost too much and don't turn a profit. Your position geographically --- sammiched between two oceans -- is great for defense, but sucks for trade. If Proctor & Gamble wants to sell Crealm Toothpaste to the Turks, P&G is better off making it at their facility in Timisoara, Romania, and then shipping it by train through Moldova and Ukraine into Central Asia were the Turks are.
A Turk making $0.75/hour cannot buy Crealm Toothpaste made by an American whose starting wages at P&G are $22.50/hour, but the Turk can buy toothpaste from a Romanian whose wages are $2.65/hour.
That's your problem.....a problem the US government created, so don't blame anyone but yourself, for allowing your government to create a problem that is now causing you harm and grief.
Your condition is Surplus Labor...lots of it...because you cannot compete globally, and because technology is slowing eroding away jobs, and because your illegal quasi-national government is out of control.
Learn to deal with it....because this condition will persist for decades, at least through 2040, if not through 2060 and beyond.
You are a post-Industrialized State...your economy stopped growing at 5+% annually when you fully 100% completed Industrialization in the mid-1960s. GDP of 2.5%-3% is the best you'll ever do from this point forward....and that is not enough to pay for Social Security, or Medicare, or any type of universal health care.
The sooner you get hold of your debt problems, the better off you will be. There is no such thing as a "the best time to do it" because there will never be a best time to do it in the future, and if you're waiting for your UE Rate to drop to 5%, that is not going to happen before then end of this decade, if ever, and waiting will only make the problem worse.
Pursuant to the Constitution, budgets originate in the House, and that is the House of Representatives, not the White House. Obama needs to show some leadership, follow the Constitution, and stop being the problem.
Economically...
Mircea