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Old 12-28-2018, 05:05 PM
 
5,705 posts, read 3,672,549 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Originalist View Post
Both parties are going down the same roads. Hopefully, Libertarians will gain as common sense is being lost by the extremists in both parties.
Lol. Good luck Libertarians. How many congressional seats do you have? Zero?
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Old 12-28-2018, 05:09 PM
 
Location: Phoenix, AZ area
3,365 posts, read 5,240,667 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by HumpDay View Post
However, the states of Texas, Georgia, and Arizona are all becoming more and more purple every election cycle due to migration from northern states and immigrations that don’t tend to support the GOP.
AZ isn't more blue than it was 2, 6, 10, 20 years ago. The current district maps favor Democrats and they still can't take control of the state House, state Senate, or Governor. AZ doesn't like Trump which is the sole reason a Democrat barely won the Senate race against a very pro-Trump Republican; easily the worst possible candidate to have ever run for the seat and will very likely lose her upcoming 2020 election.

Democratic Presidential results for Arizona.
2016: 44.58% - Hillary Clinton
2012: 44.59% - Barack Obama
2008: 45.12% - Barack Obama
2004: 44.40% - John Kerry
2000: 44.73% - Al Gore
1996: 46.52% - Bill Clinton
1992: 36.52% (23.79%) - Bill Clinton (Ross Perot 3rd party)

Yep big changes, look after 20 years Arizona is totally turning purple...
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Old 12-28-2018, 05:13 PM
 
Location: moved
13,656 posts, read 9,717,813 times
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From my vantage point, the Midwest is becoming more conservative/Republican. Left-leaning voters are leaving, and those who remain, are more enthralled by Trump-style nationalist-populism. Midwestern cities will continue to vote Democratic, but the suburbs and countryside are moving further and further to the right. The same, I think, is also true for Appalachia - which covers several battleground states (North Carolina, Pennsylvania and to some extent Ohio).

Democrats are likely to gain more, in states that are becoming economically more prosperous. Texas and Georgia, for example. But this will move deep-red states to less-red. Only a very compelling candidate will render them truly purple, and even then, probably not until the older Millennials reach the back-end of middle-age (say, 50+).

In 2016, both candidates were weak and unpalatable. The candidate who won, did so by more deftly capturing the mood of the country. I personally find this mood to be incongruous, wrong-headed and misguided. But it is what it is. I'd not be surprised if it isn't until the 2030s until the nationalist-populist wave doesn't exhaust itself.
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