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RCP average is always weighted down by one outlier of a poll that has POTUS down by around 15 or so.
which is usually couter balanced by rasmissen being at 0-+4%. i'm pretty confident if you took these two out of the equation the average would be similar.
He has been sitting at 43% forever. It's always goes up a little bit and down a little bit, but it never budges 45%.
The most unpopular President. Why? Because he only appeals to his core base which makes up 30% of the country. But also it's simple, most Americans don't like jackasses.
A majority of jackasses probably like him. They share so many characteristics and can identify with him.
RCP average is always weighted down by one outlier of a poll that has POTUS down by around 15 or so. But as I've written before, I hope that Dems continue to buy into these polls as it'll help to increase complacency with the expectation of a Democrat victory.
I don't think Democrats will be complacent. You are forgetting the animosity towards Trump -- lol.
Rasmussen isn't an extreme poll. Its actually usually pretty close on target. Its the other ridiculous 15%+ polls that are off.
ACTUALLY that's false -- there was an analysis done after the last election and Rasmussen was found to be off the most by 5.8% in the last few weeks of the last election.
Quinnpac was the most accurate -- within one percent.
Quinnpac has Trump's approval at 41% -- up from 39% as of May 2nd.
Having said that -- if you don't want to focus on the accuracy of the actual approval percentage....look at the trend, and yes Trump is polling upwards.
But what does that mean for 18 months from now -- who knows?
ACTUALLY that's false -- there was an analysis done after the last election and Rasmussen was found to be off the most by 5.8% in the last few weeks of the last election.
Quinnpac was the most accurate -- within one percent.
Quinnpac has Trump's approval at 41% -- up from 39% as of May 2nd.
Having said that -- if you don't want to focus on the accuracy of the actual approval percentage....look at the trend, and yes Trump is polling upwards.
But what does that mean for 18 months from now -- who knows?
Quinnipiac has switched to 'registered voters'. That has changed from the 'likely voters' they used during the last election.
70% of registered voters actually vote.
ACTUALLY that's false -- there was an analysis done after the last election and Rasmussen was found to be off the most by 5.8% in the last few weeks of the last election.
Quinnpac was the most accurate -- within one percent.
Quinnpac has Trump's approval at 41% -- up from 39% as of May 2nd.
Having said that -- if you don't want to focus on the accuracy of the actual approval percentage....look at the trend, and yes Trump is polling upwards.
But what does that mean for 18 months from now -- who knows?
National Congressional polls (for 2018) are less helpful (essentially the generic ballot) and I don't put much stock into that when judging a pollster's reliability for presidential polls.
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