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"The authors found no evidence that the climate models evaluated either systematically overestimated or underestimated warming over the period of their projections."
"The authors found no evidence that the climate models evaluated either systematically overestimated or underestimated warming over the period of their projections."
So no, it's not just the "weather".
They have indeed improved on a global scale but they have little or no skill on regional scale
They have indeed improved on a global scale but they have little or no skill on regional scale
I agree with you completely, especially because some models predicted the Midwest would turn into a desert, and that obviously hasn’t happened, at least not so far. If anything much of the Midwest is becoming wetter from climate change and not drier.
I agree with you completely, especially because some models predicted the Midwest would turn into a desert, and that obviously hasn’t happened, at least not so far. If anything much of the Midwest is becoming wetter from climate change and not drier.
Could you post a peer reviewed article that predicted a Midwestern desert by 2019? Would be interested in reading it!
Could you post a peer reviewed article that predicted a Midwestern desert by 2019? Would be interested in reading it!
I never said that the models predicted a Midwestern desert by 2019 lol I just remember reading articles that predict that the Midwest could become a desert later in the 21st century, which based on actual observed trends seems unlikely at this point
Could you post a peer reviewed article that predicted a Midwestern desert by 2019? Would be interested in reading it!
There are none. However there are models that overcook the Midwest. For example in 2003 model projections said that Chicago summers would resemble St Louis by 2030. Of course that's not happening
There are none. However there are models that overcook the Midwest. For example in 2003 model projections said that Chicago summers would resemble St Louis by 2030. Of course that's not happening
I think specific effects in specific regions will prove a lot harder to model than they think. It’s clear that the Earth’s climate system is absorbing a lot of extra heat. So far it’s going to the poles and the oceans with modest global warming over the mid-latitudes. But polar heating could have runaway effects on decadal scales; so could all the heat absorbed by the oceans in recent decades. Very hard to predict anything other than unpredictability.
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