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Euro12z hr192 Christmas morning has a 962mb Bomb in similar spot as GFS12z just north of Michigan.
Looks like Mid West wins the model consensus today.
This size storm is going to horrible for travelers somewhere if it happens. What are the odds millions of people know there is a chance they will get stuck or have a delay from this storm?
We don't know if its happening or where! But it's pretty nuts to see them all show this huge storm.
It will likely be cold enough for snow in the upper Midwest. I live in N Indiana, but may still be too far south for the bulk of the snow. Could coastal NE be too warm for snow on this one ????
As of todays updates, Yes. But ask me again in 4 days. You might be in a good spot with this..
What is interesting is seeing this storm wrap up but around the low itself little in the way of moisture for much snowfall. Light stuff for eastern Dakotas-Minnesota and western Great Lakes. But nothing too great. We have bare ground here in Grand Forks ND and area has had very little this season and unfortunately this storm doesnt help.
What is interesting is seeing this storm wrap up but around the low itself little in the way of moisture for much snowfall. Light stuff for eastern Dakotas-Minnesota and western Great Lakes. But nothing too great. We have bare ground here in Grand Forks ND and area has had very little this season and unfortunately this storm doesnt help.
Ironically that's what happened with this weekends storm. Precip trend slowly faded after Day 6 to practically a non note worthy event. Maybe it's saving all the moisture for the Christmas storm. And remember that with temps crashing as showing with the strong low, snow ratios will be higher than 15:1 so not much precip needed for a nice snowstorm.
I wish one day we all can get in on the excitement. It's either the Midwest that will be pissed or Northeast. lol
NWS Albany brings up the 1978 Cleveland Bomb
Quote:
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
350 PM EST WED DEC 17 2014
BY LATE MONDAY...THE EUROPEAN AND GFS FORECAST MODELS ARE FORECASTING A MUCH STRONGER TROUGH ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHERN BRANCH TO DIG IN THE NATION/S MID SECTION. THIS TROUGH IS FORECAST TO INTERACT WITH SOUTHERN STREAM ENERGY TO PRODUCE WHAT COULD BE A POWERFUL STORM AS WE HEAD INTO LATE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
THE TRACK OF THIS STORM LOOKS TO BE ALONG OR NEAR THE APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS...WELL TO THE WEST OF THE HUDSON VALLEY. IT WOULD IMPACT OUR REGION MAINLY ON CHRISTMAS EVE. A STORM WITH THIS TRACK WOULD LIKELY BRING MOSTLY RAIN...PERHAPS A LITTLE WINTRY MIX ON THE FRONT SIDE. AS IT MOVES UP TO OUR NORTHWEST...IT WOULD PULL AIR IN COLD ENOUGH TO PERHAPS SWITCH LEFTOVER RAIN SHOWERS INTO SNOW SHOWERS BY CHRISTMAS EVE NIGHT.
THIS STORM MIGHT BRING SOME STRONG WIND TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN WEDNESDAY AS IT LOOKS SIMILAR TO THE SETUP OF THE GREAT APPALACHIAN STORM OF 1950 AS WELL AS THE "CLEVELAND BOMB" OF 1978. HEAVY RAIN MIGHT TRIGGER SOME HYDRO ISSUES AS WE STILL HAVE A BIT OF SNOW TO MELT IN THE MOUNTAINS.
BEING NEARLY A WEEK AWAY A LOT OF THE SYNOPTIC SETUP COULD CHANGE BUT THIS STORM DEFINITELY BEARS WATCHING.
I think there's enough model consistency and a flow that supports a stormy pattern so figured I start a thread to follow it. There's 3 or 4 separate storms showing up. 17th, 21st, 24th and 27th give or take a day or so. Someone will be getting a snowstorm from them, someone a rainstorm.
Here's storm #1.
Snow total forecast for New England. 8-12" for northern Maine through tomorrow afternoon. Warnings are out
Can someone smart give an update from the latest models for the Christmas Eve/Day system?
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