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Yeah, I kinda figured that. Also, I think Saranac Lake is colder because it's in a valley and at higher elevation than the other stations.
It's the champion frost hollow of northern New England / Northern New England. Compare with Pinkham Notch, in a deep valley surrounded by tall mountains (Mt. Washington to the west, peaks around 4400-4800 feet to the east) and 500 feet higher. Saranac Lake has colder nights. Not sure if that region of the Adirondacks are naturally chillier (or rather have a higher diurnal range from being more continental) or it's local topography. Would have thought a deep narrow valley would be the best for radiational cooling with cold air descending to the valley bottom. But maybe a wider valley would be better because there's more landmass to cool?
We're expected to be near or at 80F the next 3 days
You're in an ok spot I think... don't see below normal much for you. Northeast different story. Will fluctuate.
Quote:
Originally Posted by nei
Sure, but by Oct 18 the average low in northern New England is in the upper 30s, maybe mid 30s in many spots. It doesn't take much below average to get a frost. You could equally pull up a mild temperature map.
Further strengthening my point those maps showing all red taking away the fact that it can be cold and frosty within the period..
Of course vise versa. If all blue was being shown doesn't mean we couldn't get into the 70s within. Was just pointing out what the same exact model was saying and it was showing cold in New England those couple days. Yes, Overall period has No real below normal but No well above normal either.
NOAA's Forecast Max temps Saturday. Below normal in Northeast.
Euro12z is just sad to look at. Polar Jet stream does not want to dive down at all. It's just having a real hard time diving down let along getting sustained!! Still early but gees, usually I see the cold air pour in a few times by now. (what would give frosts/freezes easier)
It does in 10 days in the northern plains.
Here's Albany's data. Avg 850mb is 6C now.
Boxed are the colder moments in the run, not many but they are around. 0.39" for Friday
Nuts. 70 here and feels like summer. Birds chirping.
After the Friday storm. I have to be on the lookout Sunday morning.
NWS NY
HI PRES BUILDS IN BEHIND THE SYS SAT...THEN DRIFTS THRU AND EVENTUALLY S OF THE REGION BY MON. DRY WX THRU THIS PERIOD. THERE COULD BE SOME PATCHY FROST ACROSS THE COLDER INTERIOR SPOTS SAT NGT ASSUMING THE SYS TIMING HOLDS YIELDING CLR SKIES AND LGT WINDS. HAVE LOWERED TEMPS SIGNIFICANTLY FROM THE PREVIOUS FCST FOR THIS TIME FRAME
NWS Boston..after Sunday.. as I said.. weeeeeeee...up and down we go.
GRADUALLY INCREASING TEMPS EACH DAY FROM SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL BY TUE. IN FACT...ENSEMBLE PROBABILITIES SUGGEST H85 TEMPS MAY FALL JUST SHY OF 10C...WHICH COULD PROMOTE A BRIEF RETURN TO THE 70S BY EARLY NEXT WEEK
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