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We are now in a strong El Niño which means there is a good chance that we could go from drought to deluge this season!
Historically, strong El Niños produce about double the average rainfall for us
I will use the downtown L.A. station although there are many microclimates that get more rain within the L.A. city limits as well as a few that are drier.
Average rainfall is 15 inches from July 1-June 30th.
Predict the totals this season;
A) Below average despite El Niño: less than 12 inches: Drought only intensifies and this El Niño either
fades to an "El Nono" by winter or just doesn't deliver the promised goods.
B) Around the normal range: 12 to 18 inches.
C) Above normal by a very healthy margin: 18 to 26 inches
D) WELL above normal and in the "top 10": 26 to 38 inches
E) Record breaking: 38 inches or more
I am predicting about twice the average rainfall with a grand total of between 28-30 inches; it won't be record setting but it will be at the bottom end of the top 10 and make a major tend in the drought.
I am also predicting above normal temperatures for fall with a major record setting heat wave in September, slightly below normal average temperatures for winter, and well below normal temperatures for spring.
Last edited by ABrandNewWorld; 07-21-2015 at 09:53 AM..
31 inches. With a later than usual peak in spring.
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