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Hey George, maybe you should read the whole article before posting. Know why? Look right here at what the article states:
At this point in the season, AccuWeather forecasters are predicting a weak La Niña to develop during late fall and into the winter. An area of warmer-than-normal water off the northwestern U.S. coast, nicknamed the "warm blob," is inhibiting a strong La Niña from forming.
Whoa there. You have repeatedly argued with me that the warm blob was dead, and I insisted it never died just moved closer to the coast. So there. You were totally wrong. The blob is alive and well, and even blocking the Nina. That thing is a weather phenom, and I am convinced is related to some kind of climate change. Admit you were wrong.
And it's not me that proclaimed it dead but NASA. Click on the link amd see the satellite images as to just how much it has cooled sinfe it's peak.
Quote:
Thanks in part to the strong El Niño in the equatorial Pacific, the Blob has finally broken up. Beginning in November 2015, strong winds blowing south from Alaska began to pick up, and sea surface temperatures in the northeastern Pacific began to cool
You mean Accuweather knows better than NASA? Just look at the warm signature along the PNW. That's a classic +PDO.
Oh, and I guess I should be thanking the +PDO for a warmer than average June?
You certainly aren't getting record hot weather consistently and your forecast doesn't look all that hot on the Euro EPS. Meanwhile what is going on in Seattle I wonder. Oh that's right, nothing but a huge persistent ridge over them just like with the warm blob. And over us, constant little troughs coming down that in winter will be brutally cold. They even state that a typical La Nina usually means cold winter in Seattle (based on their avg temps), but not this year due to the warm blob. They can't get a cold winter to save their life. The only thing I hope is that eventually when Mother Nature wants payback to balance out the yearly averages, either they are going to have a string of lousy summers, or they are going to get a very cold winter.
You certainly aren't getting record hot weather consistently and your forecast doesn't look all that hot on the Euro EPS. Meanwhile what is going on in Seattle I wonder. Oh that's right, nothing but a huge persistent ridge over them just like with the warm blob. And over us, constant little troughs coming down that in winter will be brutally cold. They even state that a typical La Nina usually means cold winter in Seattle (based on their avg temps), but not this year due to the warm blob. They can't get a cold winter to save their life. The only thing I hope is that eventually when Mother Nature wants payback to balance out the yearly averages, either they are going to have a string of lousy summers, or they are going to get a very cold winter.
First off, I've been consistently above average for how many months now (minus April)? Nine or ten months out of eleven? Secondly, this isn't a typical La Nina developing because it's occurring during a very strong PDO (that warm blob that you speak of). Only happened during one other episode back in the mid 80's (83-84 and lasted through 1985). I posted this in the Euro thread to show you that Seattle isn't seeing any more positive anomalies in their temps this month than I am. Currently we are both +2.9F above normal.
None of those analogs are good for heat. Only one that had a hot summer was 88 because of a above normal august, all the other years sucked majorly, and so far the weather has not been like any of those years.
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