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Old 11-16-2016, 04:45 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,529 posts, read 75,355,132 times
Reputation: 16626

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Will post all updates pertaining to this storm in here.


Blizzard Watches Posted

Intellicast - Local Weather Forecast, Reports and Maps

Current Advisories and Warnings - AerisWeather


Quote:
...FIRST MAJOR WINTER STORM OF THE SEASON COULD BRING BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS TO WESTERN MINNESOTA ON FRIDAY...

WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE RAPIDLY WITH BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN MINNESOTA FRIDAY AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS NORTHEAST ACROSS IOWA INTO WESTERN
WISCONSIN. RAIN WILL BEGIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING ACROSS
WESTERN MINNESOTA...BUT IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO SNOW BY EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES INTO EARLY AFTERNOON
BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY EVENING. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10
INCHES ARE EXPECTED WEST OF A LINE FROM AROUND GRANITE FALLS TO
WILLMAR AND LITTLE FALLS. AMOUNTS WILL TAPER OFF QUICKLY TO THE
EAST.

WINDS WILL INCREASE MARKEDLY FRIDAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER
PULLS AWAY. GUSTS OF 35 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED...HIGHEST SOUTH OF
I-94 WHICH WILL CONTRIBUTE TO CONSIDERABLE BLOWING SNOW AND
WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. TRAVEL WILL BECOME VERY DIFFICULT OR
IMPOSSIBLE IN AREAS OF THE HEAVIEST SNOW.

A BLIZZARD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY FOR MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...MAINLY WEST OF GRANITE
FALLS TO GLENWOOD AND ALEXANDRIA. A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN
EFFECT A BIT FURTHER TO THE EAST WHERE SNOW AMOUNTS SHOULD BE LESS
AND THUS THE THREAT OF WHITEOUT CONDITIONS IS LOWER. THAT INCLUDES
THE CITIES OF REDWOOD FALLS...WILLMAR...LONG PRAIRIE...AND LITTLE
FALLS.

------------------------


325 AM CST WED NOV 16 2016

...BLIZZARD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED
A BLIZZARD WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

* BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.

* WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 50 MPH COULD CAUSE WHITEOUT CONDITIONS
IN BLOWING SNOW. SIGNIFICANT DRIFTING OF THE SNOW IS LIKELY.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

* TRAVEL COULD BE VERY DIFFICULT OR IMPOSSIBLE...INCLUDING DURING
BOTH COMMUTES ON FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FALLING AND/OR
BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY POOR VISIBILITIES.
THIS CAN LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AND MAKE TRAVEL VERY
DANGEROUS.

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Old 11-16-2016, 04:48 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,529 posts, read 75,355,132 times
Reputation: 16626
Posted on November 12th, 6 days before the storm. Models were starting to show it 8 days before. Who doesn't believe in the models?


Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Last year we had this happen.... Plains-Mid West Snowstorm Nov 20-21, 2015



Will this be the first snowstorm thread for this year? Euro showing a storm coming out of the Plains, heading into Great Lakes and up into Canada with cold enough air for maybe a snowstorm in North Dakota or Minnesota (depending on location of storm)


This particular run gives a snowstorm to Northeast Wisconsin and parts of Ontario with 6-12"+


Next Friday-Saturday November 18-19.
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Old 11-16-2016, 04:56 AM
 
Location: Key Biscayne, FL
5,706 posts, read 3,777,073 times
Reputation: 1417
**** this storm models had it farther south and bringing low 50's here a couple days ago, Now I'll have to get lucky to even get to 60
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Old 11-16-2016, 05:04 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,529 posts, read 75,355,132 times
Reputation: 16626
Quote:
Originally Posted by AJ1013 View Post
**** this storm models had it farther south and bringing low 50's here a couple days ago, Now I'll have to get lucky to even get to 60
Very true. Of course details like that aren't known till couple days before but good to point out. Thanks.


Last week the Jet dug a little deeper which gave the blizzard to more areas south and west of current areas. So basically the storm is further East and north a bit now.


Minneapolis was always in a bad spot. Instead of the storm west of them, now its over them which still means no snow other than backside light snow after the storm passes. They will miss the blizzard by like 50-75 miles?


But not sure if it related to whats going on in Florida. Maybe. It's all related I guess.
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Old 11-16-2016, 05:11 AM
 
Location: Key Biscayne, FL
5,706 posts, read 3,777,073 times
Reputation: 1417
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cambium View Post
Very true. Of course details like that aren't known till couple days before but good to point out. Thanks.


Last week the Jet dug a little deeper which gave the blizzard to more areas south and west of current areas. So basically the storm is further East and north a bit now.


Minneapolis was always in a bad spot. Instead of the storm west of them, now its over them which still means no snow other than backside light snow after the storm passes. They will miss the blizzard by like 50-75 miles?


But not sure if it related to whats going on in Florida. Maybe. It's all related I guess.
It is, I've been watching it for a few days now and just that slight move north east completely changed the outcome for us
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Old 11-16-2016, 05:23 AM
 
29,541 posts, read 19,632,331 times
Reputation: 4551
https://twitter.com/JimCantore/statu...37850342965248
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Old 11-16-2016, 06:03 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,529 posts, read 75,355,132 times
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NWS Twin Cities

The Average date of 1st 6" snowfall for Duluth is December 18th. A shift of like 50 miles and they are in the 6"+ band but might not happen for them


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Old 11-16-2016, 06:58 AM
 
Location: Logan Township, Minnesota
15,501 posts, read 17,085,116 times
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Must be my fault. I just got done bragging about how warm November has been so far. (I live about midway between Alexandria and Watertown)
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Old 11-16-2016, 08:13 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,529 posts, read 75,355,132 times
Reputation: 16626
Quote:
Originally Posted by Woodrow LI View Post
Must be my fault. I just got done bragging about how warm November has been so far. (I live about midway between Alexandria and Watertown)
LOL. I thought you were going to say because you didn't tune up the Snow blower or something.
Stay safe...Post a couple of pictures in here, we'll all love to see it.


I looked up some stats for Alexandria but too many missing so I went with Duluth. While November snows of course aren't rare, I am wondering how many 6-12" storms there have been in November. Or Blizzards for that matter.
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Old 11-16-2016, 08:14 AM
 
Location: Near the Coast SWCT
83,529 posts, read 75,355,132 times
Reputation: 16626
Speaking of Blizzards... Here's number of Blizzards that happened between 1959-2000. "Blizzard Alley"


https://twitter.com/weatherchannel/s...619968/photo/1


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