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Were weather forecasts more accurate and reliable way back when? Is it really true that weather has become less “Predictable” in more recent years? With climate change will weather forecasts become even less accurate than they are now due to more extreme and erratic weather patterns? Please discuss and answer my inquiries as best as you can
It's hard to say, I think forecasts are more accurate than before with more technology, but errors do happen still. I don't know if perfection can be ever reached with such unpredictable weather.
The pertinent word is 'forecast'..... gotta keep remembering that.
At best it is a prediction based on the worlds best scientific modelling and available data. At worst.... its just a guess.....
But yeah, waaay better than even say 20 years ago.......
It certainly seems that way as more technology has not necessarily advanced accuracy.
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Originally Posted by Isleofpalms85
Were weather forecasts more accurate and reliable way back when? Is it really true that weather has become less “Predictable” in more recent years? With climate change will weather forecasts become even less accurate than they are now due to more extreme and erratic weather patterns? Please discuss and answer my inquiries as best as you can
It sure seems like 48 hours out, things are pretty accurate unless you are within 50 miles of a storm center/warm front/ some other boundary in which small moves create huge differences. Up until 5 days is pretty good...after that is still hit and miss. I don't take anything more than 10 days out with a grain of salt.
Absolutely hopeless in my area. Forecasts here are usually several degrees off temperature; fail to predict precipitation amounts even within 24 hours and much more. I barely take notice now. Millions of tax payers' money to get a super computer that spits out garbage and lazy workers who don't think they need to use human input to make accurate forecasts.
Absolutely hopeless in my area. Forecasts here are usually several degrees off temperature; fail to predict precipitation amounts even within 24 hours and much more. I barely take notice now. Millions of tax payers' money to get a super computer that spits out garbage and lazy workers who don't think they need to use human input to make accurate forecasts.
The models are fine--it's the noobs who pen the forecasts for the Met Office that have issues. I mean, who writes this stuff?
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Temperatures are expected to be near average to mild, slightly below average in the east at times. Through the rest of the period a northwest/southeast split is expected with lower pressure, rain and strong winds across the north. Whilst the south will see the best of any settled conditions and the best of the sunshine. Strongest winds and heaviest rain will most likely be in northwest. Temperatures are expected to be mild or locally very mild.
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Some uncertainty heading into this period, with higher pressure to start which is expected to recede southwards leading to lower pressure in the north. A predominantly southerly airflow is expected and is likely to lead to wet and windy weather interspersed with brighter and showery conditions. Temperatures are likely to remain rather mild for most, although short periods of colder conditions are still possible.
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