Prop 205 to Legalize Recreational Marijuana in Arizona (NOV 2016) (house, neighborhood)

[whitem3]

OH Predictive Insights conducted a poll in late August, finding a simple majority in opposition to marijuana legalization. Pollster Mike Noble noted that "... for every voter who pulls the lever for Donald Trump this November has a 72 percent likelihood they will vote ‘No’ on legalizing recreational marijuana. Conversely, Hillary Clinton voters have a 57 percent likelihood of voting ‘Yes’ on legalizing recreational marijuana."

https://ballotpedia.org/Arizona_Mari...tion_205_(2016)

[adriver]

Originally Posted by whitem3

OH Predictive Insights conducted a poll in late August, finding a simple majority in opposition to marijuana legalization. Pollster Mike Noble noted that "... for every voter who pulls the lever for Donald Trump this November has a 72 percent likelihood they will vote ‘No’ on legalizing recreational marijuana. Conversely, Hillary Clinton voters have a 57 percent likelihood of voting ‘Yes’ on legalizing recreational marijuana."

https://ballotpedia.org/Arizona_Mari...tion_205_(2016)

Another poll based on a minimal sample (728 people). They list 6 polls and all were only open no more than a few days except one, and the size of all the polls is between 400 to 784 people. The 6 polls range from 40% for 51% against, to 50% for and 40% against. If those are we all we have to work with, there is absolutely nothing in there that can predict what the outcome will be.

You also just so happened, to pick the one poll out of six that was the most opposed.



I think the only thing that can be said, is it will probably be close, and will probably depend on voter turn out.

[AZ Manager]

Originally Posted by adriver

Another poll based on a minimal sample (728 people). They list 6 polls and all were only open no more than a few days except one, and the size of all the polls is between 400 to 784 people. The 6 polls range from 40% for 51% against, to 50% for and 40% against. If those are we all we have to work with, there is absolutely nothing in there that can predict what the outcome will be.

You also just so happened, to pick the one poll out of six that was the most opposed.



I think the only thing that can be said, is it will probably be close, and will probably depend on voter turn out.

Pretty much nails it. Based on the voter turnout for the last 4 presidential elections and current registered voters expect to see 2.2 million to 2.7 million people vote in this election, my money is on the lower end. The sample sizes only represent 0.0182% to 0.0290% of the voting population. WAY too small to give any statistically significant results; they know that but do it anyway because polls get clicks and clicks sell ads.

[Potential_Landlord]

GOP, governor and AZ big business are now squarely against Prop 205:

http://www.bizjournals.com/phoenix/n...ess+Journal%29

[JGMotorsport64]

Originally Posted by Potential_Landlord

GOP, governor and AZ big business are now squarely against Prop 205:

http://www.bizjournals.com/phoenix/n...ess+Journal%29

If ole' Dougie is against something, you know to vote in favor of it.

[Burning Madolf]

Originally Posted by JGMotorsport64

If ole' Dougie is against something, you know to vote in favor of it.

The article also says Services Group of America has also kicked in $100k to oppose. They provide prison meals. Afraid of losing customers?

[jamies]

If crooked Hillary is elected we are going to NEED legal pot, heroin and oxy too just to stand living.

[JGMotorsport64]

I hope so. Arizona has taken a pretty progressive attitude on Marijuana. Arizona voters legalized medical marijuana twice and were among the very first states to do so, until our backwards legislature took it away, only to have the voters do it again.

Legalize it, tax it, get people out of jail, but most importantly research it. Study what it's benefits are, it's limitations, and the health harms it can cause to your lungs and brains. It would be great to have some definitive answers rather than crack pot scare tactics, or the opposite where stoners think smoking is good for you.

[teddyearp]

What is the probability that even more threads about this subject will be created?

https://www.city-data.com/forum/arizo...a-arizona.html

https://www.city-data.com/forum/arizo...iscussion.html

[WestGuest]

In my youth I was an elected District Attorney in conservative Texas. Each DA's office has a limited amount of funds and I would have to decide case by case whether to fully pursue marijuana or violent crimes. It was an easy decision as violent offenders often repeat.

Some say well the (pot offenders) usually get probation -- but then probation officers who sometimes have huge caseloads have to decide -- do I want to make sure that pot smoker is in his home by 10Pm or the sex prowler.

I've followed this in Colorado. A Denver Post poll asked "Would you vote to legalize all over again?" The answer was a resounding YES. Another study determined young people were no more likely to use after it became legal. Perhaps the thrill of breaking the law is gone.

Colorado has had an economic boom. More money in the treasury, more visitors. I asked a pot shop if they had lots of out of state customers. They took me to a room with a pin map-- umm yes -mostly New Mexico but lots from Cal and Texas too.

620,000 Americans were arrested in 2015--thats good job new for attorneys, police, probation officers, chemists, their staff but it sucks for the rest of us.

ARIZONA should vote YES