Welcome to City-Data.com Forum!
U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Automotive
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
Reply Start New Thread
 
Old 10-21-2017, 04:35 PM
 
21,109 posts, read 13,576,488 times
Reputation: 19723

Advertisements

Quote:
Originally Posted by notnamed View Post
The retail value is $1k less than new but you get to buy it out at $14k because of the negotiated lease. Thus you have “equity” in your lease that you can cash out.
I can't get past this part. I cannot fathom how that can truly be the case.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message

 
Old 10-21-2017, 04:38 PM
 
17,311 posts, read 12,263,996 times
Reputation: 17263
You get lease on $22k car
Bank bets it will be worth $14k in 3 years(residual)
3 years later, retail value is actually $21k.

Thus you have opportunity to buy a $21k car for $14k. Or take it to carmax and probably walk away with around $3k considering trade in vs retail value.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-21-2017, 04:40 PM
 
17,311 posts, read 12,263,996 times
Reputation: 17263
Quote:
Originally Posted by jencam View Post
I can't get past this part. I cannot fathom how that can truly be the case.
Here’s some examples.
https://www.carmax.com/search#Distan...ey=0&Zip=94035
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-21-2017, 04:48 PM
 
21,109 posts, read 13,576,488 times
Reputation: 19723
Quote:
Originally Posted by notnamed View Post
You get lease on $22k car
Bank bets it will be worth $14k in 3 years(residual)
3 years later, retail value is actually $21k.

Thus you have opportunity to buy a $21k car for $14k. Or take it to carmax and probably walk away with around $3k considering trade in vs retail value.
OK, but brand new one's the same in every other way are still 22k? I guess I'd need to see a brand new one and a 3 year old one side by side in the same area.

What are you using to asses retail value? Will anyone actually pay $21k? If not, it's moot.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-21-2017, 04:56 PM
 
21,109 posts, read 13,576,488 times
Reputation: 19723
Quote:
Originally Posted by notnamed View Post
I see a hybrid and a premium and other differences from a base-model. I don't think that apples to apples are being compared.

Also comparing to MSRP. Who pays sticker price for a new car? Maybe leases sometimes do, but most purchasers do not. So if apples to apples are being compared, the new one would be cheaper and no one would buy the used one.

Also, carmax may have paid too much for these particular ones and trying to re-coup what they spent, but it doesn't mean they are going to over-pay for MORE of them.......
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-21-2017, 05:02 PM
 
Location: Central New Jersey
2,516 posts, read 1,698,043 times
Reputation: 4512
Never leased a vehicle and don't plan on it no time soon. Buying makes perfect sense and in my 30+ years of car ownership, one has never stranded me on the road.
However, if I owned a business then I'd lease and write them off such as my brother in law does every 2 years or so. Hence his Porsche and Mercedes in his driveway
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-21-2017, 05:12 PM
 
Location: new yawk zoo
8,697 posts, read 11,087,873 times
Reputation: 6387
One factor people here forget is predicting resale value in 3 years. Leasing companies can only make a educated guess at the time of sale.

I once leased a car for 36 months with a buyout/residual of 23 grand. 3 year later the economy went bad and used car values shot up. The value of my vehicle was suddenly worth 26-27 grand retail. It can happen.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-21-2017, 05:21 PM
 
21,109 posts, read 13,576,488 times
Reputation: 19723
Quote:
Originally Posted by sirtiger View Post
One factor people here forget is predicting resale value in 3 years. Leasing companies can only make a educated guess at the time of sale.

I once leased a car for 36 months with a buyout/residual of 23 grand. 3 year later the economy went bad and used car values shot up. The value of my vehicle was suddenly worth 26-27 grand retail. It can happen.
Sure but not 1K less than a brand new one. No one will pay that. Not an individual, a dealer, or carmax.

Also sometimes the residual is intentionally set 'wrongly' for the purposes of making the lease payment lower. An incentive. Usually that can occur when leasing through the manufacturers financing.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-21-2017, 05:22 PM
 
17,311 posts, read 12,263,996 times
Reputation: 17263
Quote:
Originally Posted by jencam View Post
I see a hybrid and a premium and other differences from a base-model. I don't think that apples to apples are being compared.

Also comparing to MSRP. Who pays sticker price for a new car? Maybe leases sometimes do, but most purchasers do not. So if apples to apples are being compared, the new one would be cheaper and no one would buy the used one.

Also, carmax may have paid too much for these particular ones and trying to re-coup what they spent, but it doesn't mean they are going to over-pay for MORE of them.......
I’m largely comparing premium to premium and these prices aren’t just found at carmax.

Value may fluctuate a bit in specific scenarios but even if it’s $3-4K less the same scenario is still in play.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 10-21-2017, 05:25 PM
 
Location: Texas
44,259 posts, read 64,391,094 times
Reputation: 73937
Quote:
Originally Posted by notnamed View Post
Yeah that’s kind of my point the whole model doesn’t make sense when you have vehicles with extraordinary resale value.
Your argument works for any car you can find a patsy for.

Lol...$1k.

And, no. No one pays MSRP for a lease. Except more patsies.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.


Reply
Please update this thread with any new information or opinions. This open thread is still read by thousands of people, so we encourage all additional points of view.

Quick Reply
Message:


Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Automotive

All times are GMT -6. The time now is 09:36 PM.

© 2005-2024, Advameg, Inc. · Please obey Forum Rules · Terms of Use and Privacy Policy · Bug Bounty

City-Data.com - Contact Us - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37 - Top