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Old 08-17-2019, 07:14 AM
 
1,072 posts, read 790,795 times
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Car accident death statistic search engine by make model and year. Some very important consumer information. I found this search engine and the search returns are by make, model and year. It also separates trucks, sports cars, pick-up's, suv's, etc.

I was surprised when reading some of the results returned by the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety's search engine. Some vehicles I though to be safe turned out not to be. This information speaks volumes about the car manufacturing industry.

Remember read the summary carefully, these searches can be made by year, via the drop-down selectors above the results. Here is the link below.


https://www.iihs.org/ratings/driver-...make-and-model



Here is another link. It's a report which summaries the overall search engine information.


https://www.iihs.org/api/datastoredo...eport/pdf/52/3
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Old 08-17-2019, 08:15 AM
 
Location: NJ
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Thanks for posting. The newest it shows is 2014.
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Old 08-17-2019, 08:59 AM
 
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Default That's true but it start's in 1999 so we are talking about most of the cars on the road today.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Roselvr View Post
Thanks for posting. The newest it shows is 2014.


That's true but it start's in 1999 so we are talking about most of the cars on the road today. There are also easily recognizable patterns to be found. One of the last big safety changes that became mandatory in 2012 was stability control. Knowing that with a few searches you can find out what effect stability controls have had as compared to vehicles not having it.


Overall it is a good source of information but I'll look for updates.
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Old 08-17-2019, 10:05 AM
 
Location: Coastal Connecticut
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Isn’t this just as much about the drivers of these vehicles as the vehicles themselves?
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Old 08-17-2019, 01:11 PM
 
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Default Excellent point, but more so about the specific vehicles survivability after the accident

Quote:
Originally Posted by Stylo View Post
Isn’t this just as much about the drivers of these vehicles as the vehicles themselves?


Excellent point, but it's also about the specific vehicles survivability after an accident.
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Old 08-18-2019, 07:31 AM
 
Location: West Des Moines
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Regarding the methodology: "Rates are given as the number of driver deaths per million registered vehicle years. (A registered vehicle year is one vehicle registered for one year.)"

Other studies use measurements such as death rate per million miles, or something like that.

Vehicles which tend to be driven lots of miles annually, like typical commuter sedans, will possibly have higher rates of death per vehicle year than those which are driven less frequently or for shorter distances. Perhaps even a factor such as whether cars are purchased or leased will affect the numbers, as leased vehicles may be driven fewer miles each year.

Regarding the confidence levels: some of these vehicles have very wide confidence levels, meaning there is not enough data to actually predict whether the vehicles are safer than others in that category. For example, the overall rate for 2014 cars is 30; the rate for the Elantra is 28, but the confidence level is (6-82). So the Elantra could be extremely safe, or it could be almost three times as dangerous as the average. (Older Hyundais and Kias, for example, were not very safe, while older VWs, Toyotas and Hondas were pretty safe.)

On a slightly different topic: I think the multi-vehicle death rate is a more meaningful number than the overall death rate, as it reflects whether you're likely to survive if someone crashes into you. The single-vehicle and single-vehicle-rollover rates are almost totally under the driver's control, as he responds to the road conditions.

Lastly, the rate for all vehicles has fallen sharply in the last 15 years or so. Newer cars are safer. If you must own and drive an older car, then bigger is better with a few exceptions.
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Old 08-18-2019, 03:43 PM
 
Location: Atlanta
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Confidence intervals should not include zero.
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Old 08-18-2019, 05:29 PM
 
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Default Every point you have made is valid. The data is easy to pick apart.

Quote:
Originally Posted by J Baustian View Post
Regarding the methodology: "Rates are given as the number of driver deaths per million registered vehicle years. (A registered vehicle year is one vehicle registered for one year.)"

Other studies use measurements such as death rate per million miles, or something like that.

Vehicles which tend to be driven lots of miles annually, like typical commuter sedans, will possibly have higher rates of death per vehicle year than those which are driven less frequently or for shorter distances. Perhaps even a factor such as whether cars are purchased or leased will affect the numbers, as leased vehicles may be driven fewer miles each year.

Regarding the confidence levels: some of these vehicles have very wide confidence levels, meaning there is not enough data to actually predict whether the vehicles are safer than others in that category. For example, the overall rate for 2014 cars is 30; the rate for the Elantra is 28, but the confidence level is (6-82). So the Elantra could be extremely safe, or it could be almost three times as dangerous as the average. (Older Hyundais and Kias, for example, were not very safe, while older VWs, Toyotas and Hondas were pretty safe.)

On a slightly different topic: I think the multi-vehicle death rate is a more meaningful number than the overall death rate, as it reflects whether you're likely to survive if someone crashes into you. The single-vehicle and single-vehicle-rollover rates are almost totally under the driver's control, as he responds to the road conditions.

Lastly, the rate for all vehicles has fallen sharply in the last 15 years or so. Newer cars are safer. If you must own and drive an older car, then bigger is better with a few exceptions.



I am a curious person and also felt that the statistics delivered by this data search could have had (a lot more sharply defined quires). Some of the variables that I would have included would have included: Time of day, weather conditions, alcohol or drug involvement, speeding, mechanical condition of items such as, tires, brakes, lights, road conditions, operators age, health, wildlife such as deer or other creature involvement, and a number of other variables.


The problem with generalized data is, that even though the probability of such an occurrence is really less then a lightning strike, actuaries get to assign part of such risk to all drivers. As has been pointed out cars are safer today and that has resulted in less accidents, Shouldn't a lot more information also be part of the fault equation, at least as a footnote in such vehicle statistics.


So where is the objective detailed stuff that actuaries should be working with.
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Old 08-18-2019, 09:39 PM
 
Location: Midwest
9,449 posts, read 11,204,667 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Stylo View Post
Isn’t this just as much about the drivers of these vehicles as the vehicles themselves?
It is indeed. If ever there was a nature/nurture issue, this is it. Cheap cars attract less skilled drivers who crash more. Not always, but I'm sure there are a few PhD dissertations in this mess of data.

But it's certainly not simply "that car is safe, this car isn't" because life ain't that simple.
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Old 08-18-2019, 10:01 PM
 
Location: Tricity, PL
61,905 posts, read 87,406,262 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Roselvr View Post
Thanks for posting. The newest it shows is 2014.
This is 2017 data:

Cars:
https://www.iihs.org/topics/fatality...icle-occupants

Trucks:
https://www.iihs.org/topics/fatality...l/large-trucks

Car accidents:
https://safer-america.com/car-accident-statistics/
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