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Why in the world would we push boundaries East when we have elementary schools in the Marvin Ridge, Sun Valley, and Porter Ridge clusters operating at around 70% of capacity cluster-wide? Porter Ridge Elementary is actually running around 59% of capacity.
Based on UCPS data, the clusters have the following elementary capacity utilizations:
Monroe 83.97%
Forest Hills 81.83%
Piedmont 90.67%
Porter Ridge 72.84%
Sun Valley 73.13%
Weddington 93.66%
Marvin 71.77%
Cuthbertson 101.62%
Parkwood 85.05%
That's if you rely on the last capacity numbers posted for the public.
That 85.05% for Parkwood elementaries is including the capacity for the planned Western Union addition. Parkwood elementaries are currently at 96.14% capacity utilization.
Might be nice to post the 2015 capacity numbers.
CAPS people said the BOE and Staff were lying and now the capacity numbers are correct.
I recall checking and the new numbers posted here are identical to the 2015 numbers.
I'll try to find the archived 2015 capacities when I get near a real computer... lol!
That 59% number for PRES is accurate, but misleading in the system capacity discussion.
It's the middle school and high school numbers that matter. Look at where the bottleneck is in the cluster system. 3 elementary schools of five grade levels, 1 middle school of three grade levels and 1 high school of four grade levels.
These capacity numbers are in no way accurate. SVHS can not house more students than PRHS or WHS. SVMS
is. It the largest middle school. I read the first duty of this board is to establish TRUE capacity numbers. So let's see what those TRUE numbers actually are, then see what the demographer's numbers are. I think we will see a very different picture. I think we will see kids moved back to Marvin and Weddington. Piedmont and PR are getting expansions.
If you want to look at middle and high---Enrollment(ADM) vs Capacity (with the proposed additions)
Middle
Monroe 94.7%
East Union 88.9%
Piedmont 99.6%
Porter Ridge 83.94%
Sun Valley 101.85%
Weddington 101.2%
Marvin 98.92%
Cuthbertson 102.83%
Parkwood 99.6%
High
Monroe 79.07%
Forest Hills 80.63%
Piedmont 86.13%
Porter Ridge 97.06%
Sun Valley 80.78%
Weddington 97.21%
Marvin 103.94%
Cuthbertson 96.63%
Parkwood 93.93%
The empty nesting hits the elementaries before it hits the middle and high schools.
Also, we are talking about current enrollment here not forecasted enrollment. I'm interested to see McKibben's forecast since it will account for charter schools this time.
Last edited by TheSweetOnion; 02-10-2017 at 04:50 PM..
If you want to look at middle and high---Enrollment(ADM) vs Capacity (with the proposed additions)
Middle
Monroe 94.7%
East Union 88.9%
Piedmont 99.6%
Porter Ridge 83.94%
Sun Valley 101.85%
Weddington 101.2%
Marvin 98.92%
Cuthbertson 102.83%
Parkwood 99.6%
U]High[/u]
Monroe 79.07%
Forest Hills 80.63%
Piedmont 86.13%
Porter Ridge 97.06%
Sun Valley 80.78%
Weddington 97.21%
Marvin 103.94%
Cuthbertson 96.63%
Parkwood 93.93%
The empty nesting hits the elementaries before it hits the middle and high schools.
Also, we are talking about current enrollment here not forecasted enrollment. I'm interested to see McKibben's forecast since it will account for charter schools this time.
Cool, thanks!
Here's a whole lot of forecasting history with a few McKibben's in the list. Facilities / Reports
Might be nice to post the 2015 capacity numbers.
CAPS people said the BOE and Staff were lying and now the capacity numbers are correct.
I recall checking and the new numbers posted here are identical to the 2015 numbers.
I'll try to find the archived 2015 capacities when I get near a real computer... lol!
That 59% number for PRES is accurate, but misleading in the system capacity discussion.
It's the middle school and high school numbers that matter. Look at where the bottleneck is in the cluster system. 3 elementary schools of five grade levels, 1 middle school of three grade levels and 1 high school of four grade levels.
I don't think anyone believes the current capacity numbers are correct. The first step in the realignment process has to be to establish a consistent method for calculating both classroom and core capacity at all schools. Capacities can't be set based on what staff feels the facilities can hold and they can't be set to include future capacity planned by UCPS in the CCEP. The capacities need to be based in reality.
These capacity numbers are in no way accurate. SVHS can not house more students than PRHS or WHS. SVMS
is. It the largest middle school. I read the first duty of this board is to establish TRUE capacity numbers. So let's see what those TRUE numbers actually are, then see what the demographer's numbers are. I think we will see a very different picture. I think we will see kids moved back to Marvin and Weddington. Piedmont and PR are getting expansions.
Melissa Merrill was all over the capacity numbers during the past year, which is why you see the better data about Media Center and Cafeteria square footage; each with options for 3-4 lunches or 4-6 sqft/student.
You're right, though, SVHS actually does look high based on the data they posted.
I don't think anyone believes the current capacity numbers are correct. The first step in the realignment process has to be to establish a consistent method for calculating both classroom and core capacity at all schools. Capacities can't be set based on what staff feels the facilities can hold and they can't be set to include future capacity planned by UCPS in the CCEP. The capacities need to be based in reality.
I agree with you. Until then this is all speculation and not worth my concern.
I agree with you. Until then this is all speculation and not worth my concern.
That's for sure. All we have right now is a year-old forecast that doesn't account for charter schools and some dubious classroom and core capacity numbers. I think a lot of eyes will be opened when get the new forecast and some realistic capacities.
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