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Old 01-08-2020, 08:15 PM
 
Location: Upper West Side, Manhattan, NYC
15,323 posts, read 23,937,691 times
Reputation: 7420

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sharif662 View Post
Could you do Jackson , MS? I'm quite curious on it and to add to those percentage are higher when a few of those tracts experience 1 homicide every other year or years apart.
I did Jackson, MS here as well as Indianapolis. I also updated Chicago's data as the last data was from a few days before 12/31 and there were a few homicides after that to be counted. Jackson not good in this regard. Looking to do St. Louis once they release their December transactional crime data..


Percentage of People Living in Census Tracts With 0 Homicides for 2019
Los Angeles: 79.7%
Louisville: 64.1%
Chicago: 64%
Indianapolis: 58.1%
Washington DC: 56.6%
Detroit: 46.6%
Baltimore: 36.4%
Jackson, MS: 13.3%

Percentage of People Living in Census Tracts With 1 Homicide for 2019
Jackson, MS: 38.8%
Detroit: 27.2%
Indianapolis: 26.7%
Louisville: 23.1%
Chicago: 21.2%
Washington DC: 19.3%
Baltimore: 18.2%
Los Angeles: 15.2%


Percentage of People Living in Census Tracts With 3+ Homicides per tract for 2019
Baltimore: 30.5%
Jackson, MS: 23.9%
Washington DC: 13.5%
Detroit: 9.9%
Chicago: 8%
Indianapolis: 6.4%
Louisville: 4%
Los Angeles: 1.5%

Percentage of People Living in Census Tracts With 5+ Homicides per tract for 2019
Baltimore: 7.24%
Washington DC: 2.9%
Chicago: 1.3%
Louisville: 0.81%
Indianapolis: 0.73%
Detroit: 0.44%
Los Angeles: 0.33%
Jackson, MS: 0%

Percentage of People Living in Census Tracts With 7+ Homicides per tract for 2019
Baltimore: 3.97%
Washington DC: 0.73%
Chicago: 0.37%
Louisville: 0%
Indianapolis: 0%
Detroit: 0%
Los Angeles: 0%
Jackson, MS: 0%

Last edited by marothisu; 01-08-2020 at 08:30 PM..
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Old 01-08-2020, 09:26 PM
 
Location: Nashville, TN
9,684 posts, read 9,406,200 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by marothisu View Post
I did Jackson, MS here as well as Indianapolis. I also updated Chicago's data as the last data was from a few days before 12/31 and there were a few homicides after that to be counted. Jackson not good in this regard. Looking to do St. Louis once they release their December transactional crime data..


Percentage of People Living in Census Tracts With 0 Homicides for 2019
Los Angeles: 79.7%
Louisville: 64.1%
Chicago: 64%
Indianapolis: 58.1%
Washington DC: 56.6%
Detroit: 46.6%
Baltimore: 36.4%
Jackson, MS: 13.3%

Percentage of People Living in Census Tracts With 1 Homicide for 2019
Jackson, MS: 38.8%
Detroit: 27.2%
Indianapolis: 26.7%
Louisville: 23.1%
Chicago: 21.2%
Washington DC: 19.3%
Baltimore: 18.2%
Los Angeles: 15.2%


Percentage of People Living in Census Tracts With 3+ Homicides per tract for 2019
Baltimore: 30.5%
Jackson, MS: 23.9%
Washington DC: 13.5%
Detroit: 9.9%
Chicago: 8%
Indianapolis: 6.4%
Louisville: 4%
Los Angeles: 1.5%

Percentage of People Living in Census Tracts With 5+ Homicides per tract for 2019
Baltimore: 7.24%
Washington DC: 2.9%
Chicago: 1.3%
Louisville: 0.81%
Indianapolis: 0.73%
Detroit: 0.44%
Los Angeles: 0.33%
Jackson, MS: 0%

Percentage of People Living in Census Tracts With 7+ Homicides per tract for 2019
Baltimore: 3.97%
Washington DC: 0.73%
Chicago: 0.37%
Louisville: 0%
Indianapolis: 0%
Detroit: 0%
Los Angeles: 0%
Jackson, MS: 0%
Thank you. This information is useful to help avoid crime ridden and run down cities' areas. Have they released Memphis and Richmond?
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Old 01-08-2020, 09:59 PM
 
Location: Upper West Side, Manhattan, NYC
15,323 posts, read 23,937,691 times
Reputation: 7420
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shakeesha View Post
Thank you. This information is useful to help avoid crime ridden and run down cities' areas. Have they released Memphis and Richmond?
I plan on also making some heat maps of the cities I can calculate it for. I think it also highlights which cities for more of its residents is worse off than others regardless of the amount of homicide - i.e. Baltimore appears pretty bad for the majority of residents and Jackson to an extent. Places like Chicago are OK for most residents of the city, but the areas that are bad are very bad as we know. Just shows you that a lot of the city is fine, but then there's some swaths that are the opposite of fine.

Not sure about Richmond, but I do have a source for Memphis that might allow me to do this.


Of the cities I've calculated so far, here are the worst tracts by both count and homicide rate. Click on the links to take you to a page that can show you the geographical boundaries. Again this is only so far out of some cities. Many many cities not here, but out of LA, DC, Chicago, Louisville, Baltimore, Jackson, Detroit, and Indianapolis..


By Homicide Count
1T. Census Tract 1604 (Baltimore): 10 homicides
1T. Census Tract 2717 (Baltimore): 10 homicides
3T. Census Tract 2805 (Baltimore): 9 homicides
3T. Census Tract 2315 (Chicago): 9 homicides
5. Census Tract 702 (Baltimore): 8 homicides
6T. Census Tract 803.01 (Baltimore): 7 homicides
6T. Census Tract 2005 (Baltimore): 7 homicides
6T. Census Tract 1506 (Baltimore): 7 homicides
6T. Census Tract 803.01 (Baltimore): 7 homicides
6T. Census Tract 4910 (Chicago): 7 homicides
6T. Census Tract 1607 (Baltimore): 7 homicides
6T. Census Tract 98.11 (Washington DC): 7 homicides
12T. Census Tract 2003 (Baltimore): 6 homicides
12T. Census Tract 3521 (Indianapolis): 6 homicides
12T. Census Tract 1501 (Baltimore): 6 homicides
12T. Census Tract 1001 (Baltimore): 6 homicides
12T. Census Tract 908 (Baltimore): 6 homicides
12T. Census Tract 6912 (Chicago): 6 homicides
12T. Census Tract 74.08 (Washington DC): 6 homicides
12T. Census Tract 2516 (Chicago): 6 homicides
12T. Census Tract 2716 (Baltimore): 6 homicides
12T. Census Tract 2511 (Chicago): 6 homicides
12T. Census Tract 77.07 (Washington DC): 6 homicides

By Homicide Rate
1. Census Tract 1604 (Baltimore): 429 per 100K
2. Census Tract 803.01 (Baltimore): 412.74 per 100K
3. Census Tract 2805 (Baltimore): 402.14 per 100K
4. Census Tract 2003 (Baltimore): 395.52 per 100K
5. Census Tract 6705 (Chicago): 382.04 per 100K
6. Census Tract 3521 (Indianapolis): 285.17 per 100K
7. Census Tract 1501 (Baltimore): 273.72 per 100K
8. Census Tract 1001 (Baltimore): 268.7 per 100K
9. Census Tract 702 (Baltimore): 264.2 per 100K
10. Census Tract 8346 (Chicago): 253.16 per 100K
12. Census Tract 1801 (Baltimore): 246.91 per 100K
13. Census Tract 2005 (Baltimore): 244.24 per 100K
14. Census Tract 5063 (Detroit): 238.38 per 100K
15. Census Tract 806 (Baltimore): 235.96 per 100K
16. Census Tract 1506 (Baltimore): 223.71 per 100K
17. Census Tract 2002 (Baltimore): 213.22 per 100K
18. Census Tract 27 (Louisville): 208.07 per 100K
19. Census Tract 2717 (Baltimore): 207.77 per 100K
20. Census Tract 908 (Baltimore): 206.75 per 100K
21. Census Tract 6912 (Chicago): 202.09 per 100K
22. Census Tract 16 (Louisville): 192.01 per 100K
23. Census Tract 1901 (Baltimore): 187.71 per 100K
24. Census Tract 8368 (Chicago): 184.84 per 100K
25. Census Tract 74.08 (Washington DC): 175.28 per 100K
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Old 01-09-2020, 07:30 AM
 
Location: Tupelo, Ms
2,660 posts, read 2,102,720 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by marothisu View Post
I did Jackson, MS here as well as Indianapolis. I also updated Chicago's data as the last data was from a few days before 12/31 and there were a few homicides after that to be counted. Jackson not good in this regard. Looking to do St. Louis once they release their December transactional crime data..


Percentage of People Living in Census Tracts With 0 Homicides for 2019
Los Angeles: 79.7%
Louisville: 64.1%
Chicago: 64%
Indianapolis: 58.1%
Washington DC: 56.6%
Detroit: 46.6%
Baltimore: 36.4%
Jackson, MS: 13.3%

Percentage of People Living in Census Tracts With 1 Homicide for 2019
Jackson, MS: 38.8%
Detroit: 27.2%
Indianapolis: 26.7%
Louisville: 23.1%
Chicago: 21.2%
Washington DC: 19.3%
Baltimore: 18.2%
Los Angeles: 15.2%


Percentage of People Living in Census Tracts With 3+ Homicides per tract for 2019
Baltimore: 30.5%
Jackson, MS: 23.9%
Washington DC: 13.5%
Detroit: 9.9%
Chicago: 8%
Indianapolis: 6.4%
Louisville: 4%
Los Angeles: 1.5%

Percentage of People Living in Census Tracts With 5+ Homicides per tract for 2019
Baltimore: 7.24%
Washington DC: 2.9%
Chicago: 1.3%
Louisville: 0.81%
Indianapolis: 0.73%
Detroit: 0.44%
Los Angeles: 0.33%
Jackson, MS: 0%

Percentage of People Living in Census Tracts With 7+ Homicides per tract for 2019
Baltimore: 3.97%
Washington DC: 0.73%
Chicago: 0.37%
Louisville: 0%
Indianapolis: 0%
Detroit: 0%
Los Angeles: 0%
Jackson, MS: 0%
I thought it would be misleading since Jackson's is on the smaller end core wise. Additionally been a hectic year in regardto homicides.
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Old 01-09-2020, 08:15 AM
 
Location: Upper West Side, Manhattan, NYC
15,323 posts, read 23,937,691 times
Reputation: 7420
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sharif662 View Post
I thought it would be misleading since Jackson's is on the smaller end core wise. Additionally been a hectic year in regardto homicides.
What I found by doing it is that things were pretty spread out. Definitely a number of homicides not right in the core which surprised me. There were numerous that happened on borderline country esque roads (my standard at least).
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Old 01-09-2020, 01:53 PM
 
Location: Tupelo, Ms
2,660 posts, read 2,102,720 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by marothisu View Post
What I found by doing it is that things were pretty spread out. Definitely a number of homicides not right in the core which surprised me. There were numerous that happened on borderline country esque roads (my standard at least).
Additionally it occured to me that the boundaries of a census tract expands more the smaller the population.
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Old 01-09-2020, 03:57 PM
 
Location: Upper West Side, Manhattan, NYC
15,323 posts, read 23,937,691 times
Reputation: 7420
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sharif662 View Post
Additionally it occured to me that the boundaries of a census tract expands more the smaller the population.
I think a heat map would help to visualize these things a little better. I'll do those at another time. At the same time, doing this by physical area per tract. The main point is to show the number of people who can say "yes there was a homicide 3 months ago just 3 blocks away from me." Whether they think it will happen to them or not, guaranteed it affects most people at some level - especially when it keeps happening within a 3 or 4 block radius of you.
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Old 01-09-2020, 04:05 PM
 
Location: Tupelo, Ms
2,660 posts, read 2,102,720 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by marothisu View Post
I think a heat map would help to visualize these things a little better. I'll do those at another time. At the same time, doing this by physical area per tract. The main point is to show the number of people who can say "yes there was a homicide 3 months ago just 3 blocks away from me." Whether they think it will happen to them or not, guaranteed it affects most people at some level - especially when it keeps happening within a 3 or 4 block radius of you.
People have to keep in mind ( besides stray bullets) that there personal network & daily hang arounds add/subtract the risk factor.
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Old 01-09-2020, 04:07 PM
 
Location: Upper West Side, Manhattan, NYC
15,323 posts, read 23,937,691 times
Reputation: 7420
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sharif662 View Post
People have to keep in mind ( besides stray bullets) that there personal network & daily hang arounds add/subtract the risk factor.
I understand that, but most people also have it in the back of their mind that someone was killed recently near where they live regardless of whether they think it's going to happen to them or not. It affects people at some level. Most people are not rational about how violent crime happens and to whom. It's also to show which cities are more confined with this stuff and which are more spread out where people live in the city.
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Old 01-09-2020, 04:11 PM
 
Location: Odenton, MD
3,541 posts, read 2,329,409 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by marothisu View Post
I did Jackson, MS here as well as Indianapolis. I also updated Chicago's data as the last data was from a few days before 12/31 and there were a few homicides after that to be counted. Jackson not good in this regard. Looking to do St. Louis once they release their December transactional crime data..


Percentage of People Living in Census Tracts With 0 Homicides for 2019
Los Angeles: 79.7%
Louisville: 64.1%
Chicago: 64%
Indianapolis: 58.1%
Washington DC: 56.6%
Detroit: 46.6%
Baltimore: 36.4%
Jackson, MS: 13.3%

Percentage of People Living in Census Tracts With 1 Homicide for 2019
Jackson, MS: 38.8%
Detroit: 27.2%
Indianapolis: 26.7%
Louisville: 23.1%
Chicago: 21.2%
Washington DC: 19.3%
Baltimore: 18.2%
Los Angeles: 15.2%


Percentage of People Living in Census Tracts With 3+ Homicides per tract for 2019
Baltimore: 30.5%
Jackson, MS: 23.9%
Washington DC: 13.5%
Detroit: 9.9%
Chicago: 8%
Indianapolis: 6.4%
Louisville: 4%
Los Angeles: 1.5%

Percentage of People Living in Census Tracts With 5+ Homicides per tract for 2019
Baltimore: 7.24%
Washington DC: 2.9%
Chicago: 1.3%
Louisville: 0.81%
Indianapolis: 0.73%
Detroit: 0.44%
Los Angeles: 0.33%
Jackson, MS: 0%

Percentage of People Living in Census Tracts With 7+ Homicides per tract for 2019
Baltimore: 3.97%
Washington DC: 0.73%
Chicago: 0.37%
Louisville: 0%
Indianapolis: 0%
Detroit: 0%
Los Angeles: 0%
Jackson, MS: 0%
Are these stats taking into account the physical area of said censes tract or its population relative to the rest of the city?
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