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View Poll Results: Who is most likely to start construction on a metro rail in the 2020s?
Detroit 14 11.48%
Cincinatti 5 4.10%
Columbus 5 4.10%
Nashville 22 18.03%
Raleigh 8 6.56%
San Antonio 3 2.46%
Austin 60 49.18%
Kansas City 5 4.10%
Voters: 122. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 12-26-2019, 11:59 AM
 
Location: west cobb slob
276 posts, read 167,953 times
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Nashville and Austin both need it the most with the explosive growth they've had. Both cities have a single sort-of-useful commuter rail line, but I think both will build BRT/LRT in the near future.
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Old 12-26-2019, 12:12 PM
 
Location: La Jolla
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheProf View Post

But Nashville, like Cincy, is the most dense with the most walkble, lively downtown neighborhood. And when it comes to positive public-service infrastructure like mass transit, it just seems more progressive than the others which seem perpetually tied up in the old regressive American bugaboos preventing transit growth: city vs. suburbs (Detroit), '...rapid transit is too expensive and people won't use it.' (Detroit, Columbus), 'buses can do the job and, hey, what about ride-share, electric cars, etc. (Columbus) ...
The densest zip code in Nashville is about 6500 ppsm. After that you drop down to 3600 ppsm. That doesn't sound very dense to me, and just by looking at a picture of Cincy, you can see it is far denser.
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Old 12-26-2019, 01:13 PM
 
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True, metro density stats are meaningless. My metro has thousands of square miles of forest and a well-known volcano and national park...not really part of the city.

As for Seattle's proposed supertall...701 4th by Crescent Heights. It's been puttering around for a few years and is currently in a process with the FAA.
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Old 12-26-2019, 01:41 PM
 
1,798 posts, read 1,121,300 times
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Originally Posted by Losfrisco View Post
The densest zip code in Nashville is about 6500 ppsm. After that you drop down to 3600 ppsm. That doesn't sound very dense to me, and just by looking at a picture of Cincy, you can see it is far denser.
Wow that is surprising! Nashville boosters make it seem a lot more dense and urban. I'm struggling to conceive how it can be that low though. By comparison, San Diego metro has 274 census tracts with population density above 6,500. Even San Diego suburbs 1 hour from downtown have multiple census tracts above 10,000 ppsm.

What source are you using? Is it based on 2010 census data?

It seemed a lot more dense than 6,500 ppsm on my recent visit.
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Old 12-26-2019, 01:56 PM
 
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None of the above with a tie between Austin and Nashville for most likely potential candidates
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Old 12-26-2019, 02:09 PM
 
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Originally Posted by Losfrisco View Post
The densest zip code in Nashville is about 6500 ppsm. After that you drop down to 3600 ppsm. That doesn't sound very dense to me, and just by looking at a picture of Cincy, you can see it is far denser.
Not sure if you're using numbers from the 2010 census. The densest tracts are from 12-13,000 ppsm, though not incredibly dense, this isn't that far off from other southeastern cities. I suspect a lot of these to change once the official numbers from the 2020 census are available.

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https://www.pinterest.com/pin/510877151467769702/

Last edited by Yac; 12-30-2019 at 04:33 AM..
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Old 12-26-2019, 02:17 PM
 
592 posts, read 589,447 times
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Originally Posted by newgensandiego View Post
Wow that is surprising! Nashville boosters make it seem a lot more dense and urban. I'm struggling to conceive how it can be that low though. By comparison, San Diego metro has 274 census tracts with population density above 6,500. Even San Diego suburbs 1 hour from downtown have multiple census tracts above 10,000 ppsm.

What source are you using? Is it based on 2010 census data?

It seemed a lot more dense than 6,500 ppsm on my recent visit.
See example of a few select census tracts below, however don't see how up to date these numbers are on these links as they could be different as of now.

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https://www.pinterest.com/pin/510877151467769702/

Last edited by Yac; 12-30-2019 at 04:33 AM..
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Old 12-26-2019, 02:44 PM
 
Location: La Jolla
4,211 posts, read 3,287,487 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by newgensandiego View Post
Wow that is surprising! Nashville boosters make it seem a lot more dense and urban. I'm struggling to conceive how it can be that low though. By comparison, San Diego metro has 274 census tracts with population density above 6,500. Even San Diego suburbs 1 hour from downtown have multiple census tracts above 10,000 ppsm.

What source are you using? Is it based on 2010 census data?

It seemed a lot more dense than 6,500 ppsm on my recent visit.
Zip Atlas
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Old 12-27-2019, 01:47 AM
 
Location: La Jolla
4,211 posts, read 3,287,487 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jkc2j View Post
Not sure if you're using numbers from the 2010 census. The densest tracts are from 12-13,000 ppsm, though not incredibly dense, this isn't that far off from other southeastern cities. I suspect a lot of these to change once the official numbers from the 2020 census are available.

Moderator cut: link removed, competitor site

https://www.pinterest.com/pin/510877151467769702/
Its zip codes, not tracts for the site Zip Atlas. At any rate, a simple picture shows us that Cincy is denser.

Last edited by Yac; 12-30-2019 at 04:33 AM..
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Old 12-27-2019, 07:55 AM
 
Location: That star on your map in the middle of the East Coast, DMV
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Originally Posted by Joakim3 View Post
Honestly, none of them...

If places like SF, Baltimore, ATL, Philly, Boston, Miami (which all have existing lines) can't even expand current ones, let alone build new lines... the chances of any of these cities building a completely new heavy rail is almost zero.

If you're not NYC, DC, LA or Chicago the chances of your city throwing up a completely new heavy rail system is almost non existent at this point
I mostly agree with this regarding any meaningful projects that could come up in the next 10 years or so. The Maglev between DC and Baltimore has a chance and could be approved next year with construction in 2021. But for metro systems, WMATA proposed a few different routes for adding a new tunnel in the core of DC. Either by creating a loop with the Blue and Yellow lines circling the core, or separating the Blue or Silver lines completely. Basically this would be DC's version of an expansion like the 2nd Ave Subway in Manhattan, if it happens. Those additions wouldn't happen for closer to 20-25 years though.

I don't see any cities without significant heavy rail already in their cores breaking much more ground on any massive projects at the moment, but let's hope that's not the case.
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