[BPt111]

Most excited weather in while almost 70 mph wind

[clutchrider]

Great. Flag down, umbrella in, I’ll swap out my cloth lettuce cover for a sturdy tarp to keep seeds and plants safe. Planters in the garage. Kinda wished I left the water in the pool cover for weight, I may toss the hose on for a bit for good measure.

[Solstodur]

YIKES.

Get ready some tree-downing events. This could be pretty catastrophic, trees are starting to leaf out so they could act as sails, but not enough to completely act as a wind baffle. The transition periods (fall, spring) have always been more dangerous imo

[Cambium]

I gotta protect the seeds out there. Ugh.

LLJ = Low Level Jet

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Could see some leading bands of WAA showers Sunday night ahead
of the approaching storm, while S winds slowly increase and
temps remain steady or slowly rise. Strongest winds expected
late AM into the afternoon on Monday as an 85-90kt H9 LLJ
develops. GFS/NAM MOS guidance winds at KJFK both show
sustained winds over 40 kt by 18Z Mon, some of the highest ever
seen there outside of tropical cyclones. Looking at wind gusts,
model soundings show typical model biases in play, with the NAM
too inverted over land and the GFS too well mixed. Split the
difference via a 2:1 NAM/GFS blend, as the NAM shows a little
more focused LLJ toward the coast, and modified temps/mixing
heights using MOS guidance hourly temps. This yields wind gusts
65-70 mph at the coast, and as high as 60-65 mph inland, mainly
the higher elevations and exposed areas such as along the Hudson
River. Can not totally rule out isolated 75-80 mph gusts across
Long Island and coastal SE CT.

Rain, moderate to heavy at times mainly in the morning and early
afternoon, should become more showery in the afternoon. Rumbles
of thunder are possible with TT 50+ and MUCAPE 500+ J/kg.

High temps on Monday from the upper 50s/lower 60s in coastal
sections, to mid/upper 60s NW of NYC.

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A potent upper low over the Great Lakes continues to deepen as
it moves northeast into the Canadian Maritimes to begin the
extended. As a result, deep southwest flow dominates through
Wednesday. A series of weak shortwaves moves through Wednesday
night and again on Friday.

So more rain Wednesday.

[Cambium]

NAM has 101kts at 5000' over MA. Even if half that mixes down to surface it's over 50mph.

https://twitter.com/stormchaserjs/st...66695589122049

[Cambium]

Extreme winds Monday


https://www.weather.gov/okx/ehwo#





Max wind gusts





Over an inch of rain





Lake cutting powerful storm.





https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/winter_wx.shtml#lows


https://www.weather.gov/erh/gis_wfo?id=OKX

[Cambium]

That's it....... Was good while it lasted....

5 Hours of sun this morning. I'll take it! Got full clouds here now.


They moved in quick too. Was sunny with a few thin high clouds around at 11:30am, then I blinked while still outside and boom, all clouds.

[Solstodur]

Clouds opened up again, got mixed skies now. Here's a "preview" of the severe aspect of the storm down in Mississippi

[ProudFairfielder]

Sunny in Fairfield at 6:30

[Siberiaboy]

Are you all prepared to be without electric power for what could be 6 to 12 weeks? There are worker shortages due to COVID-19 so if this gale storm tomorrow knocks out Connecticut power it will not be something immediately repaired due to the times we are in now. We could be sitting in the dark for multiples of weeks and hotels are not open for business.

This also will eliminate the ability to work from home and this is frightening to think about. Gas stations also closed.