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Old 05-08-2020, 12:13 PM
 
Location: Oregon, formerly Texas
10,069 posts, read 7,239,454 times
Reputation: 17146

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The data is worse the more you look at it, epecially considering that March got revised worse: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...e-you-read-it/

Have to admit, the financial media has been clever in loudly announcing that we're going to have 25-30% unemployment. That way, when it's 14.7%, it looks good, and the markets go up.
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Old 05-08-2020, 12:53 PM
 
106,673 posts, read 108,856,202 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by redguard57 View Post
The data is worse the more you look at it, epecially considering that March got revised worse: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...e-you-read-it/

Have to admit, the financial media has been clever in loudly announcing that we're going to have 25-30% unemployment. That way, when it's 14.7%, it looks good, and the markets go up.
The markets determine their own numbers via analysts not the media
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Old 05-08-2020, 12:55 PM
 
Location: Sputnik Planitia
7,829 posts, read 11,790,682 times
Reputation: 9045
Look at TSLA, $820 as we speak... insane! Recession, Depression or whatever, TSLA stock is having it's best year ever! One would think that products like TSLA are the first to go in a time like this but apparently the investors think that people will be buying luxury electric cars costing upwards of $60-100K a piece in droves...
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Old 05-08-2020, 01:05 PM
 
Location: Flyover part of Virginia
4,218 posts, read 2,458,246 times
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Lol there are no more 'markets.' There is only the Federal Reserve.
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Old 05-08-2020, 01:09 PM
 
3,372 posts, read 1,566,260 times
Reputation: 4597
Quote:
Originally Posted by redguard57 View Post
The data is worse the more you look at it, epecially considering that March got revised worse: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...e-you-read-it/

Have to admit, the financial media has been clever in loudly announcing that we're going to have 25-30% unemployment. That way, when it's 14.7%, it looks good, and the markets go up.

This is the only chart you need to be watching to understand where markets are headed in the shorter-term:

https://www.federalreserve.gov/monet...centtrends.htm


Keep in mind the "financial media" were all saying to sell at DOW 19K because we were headed much lower, and then almost all of them were also crying "retest" the entire way from DOW 19-24K.
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Old 05-08-2020, 01:31 PM
 
Location: Oregon, formerly Texas
10,069 posts, read 7,239,454 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by k374 View Post
Look at TSLA, $820 as we speak... insane! Recession, Depression or whatever, TSLA stock is having it's best year ever! One would think that products like TSLA are the first to go in a time like this but apparently the investors think that people will be buying luxury electric cars costing upwards of $60-100K a piece in droves...
Especially since Tesla said they may lay off people.

I think it's become pure gambling disconnected from the economy

What's been going on with Norwegian confirms that.
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Old 05-08-2020, 01:45 PM
 
106,673 posts, read 108,856,202 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Taggerung View Post
Lol there are no more 'markets.' There is only the Federal Reserve.
It is all part of the equation....I don’t care if it is the planets in the solar system aligning , up is up and taking profits is taking profits
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Old 05-08-2020, 01:48 PM
 
Location: The Republic of Gilead
12,716 posts, read 7,812,515 times
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Given the current economic environment and the outlook, the DOW needs to be at about 6-7k before we can think about calling a bottom.
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Old 05-08-2020, 01:53 PM
 
106,673 posts, read 108,856,202 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bawac34618 View Post
Given the current economic environment and the outlook, the DOW needs to be at about 6-7k before we can think about calling a bottom.
Keep waiting ....it is likely the pier will collapse before that ship comes in
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Old 05-08-2020, 02:01 PM
 
Location: The Triad
34,090 posts, read 82,975,811 times
Reputation: 43666
Quote:
Originally Posted by redguard57 View Post
I think (the equities market) has become pure gambling disconnected from the economy
It always has been such to a large degree (which is what the bull-$hitters cling to)
but that 'large degree' sure does feel heavier than ever (which is what the contrarian bears cling to)
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