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Old 05-19-2021, 01:02 PM
 
Location: Embarrassing, WA
3,405 posts, read 2,737,856 times
Reputation: 4417

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https://www.housingwire.com/articles...-4-from-march/

"New housing starts fell far more than expected" According to CNBC. Well, at almost $13 for a single 2x6 stud, I'm not surprised.

"Skyrocketing prices for lumber, appliances and other building materials continue to handcuff new housing starts all over the country.

Single-family housing starts in April dropped 13.4% from March to a rate of 1.09 million, according to the most recent study from the U.S. Census Bureau."
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Old 05-19-2021, 01:11 PM
 
106,750 posts, read 108,937,910 times
Reputation: 80218
Quote:
Originally Posted by rkcarguy View Post
https://www.housingwire.com/articles...-4-from-march/

"New housing starts fell far more than expected" According to CNBC. Well, at almost $13 for a single 2x6 stud, I'm not surprised.

"Skyrocketing prices for lumber, appliances and other building materials continue to handcuff new housing starts all over the country.

Single-family housing starts in April dropped 13.4% from March to a rate of 1.09 million, according to the most recent study from the U.S. Census Bureau."
Lumber has started falling ..so much so it fell so much today it triggered the daily limit.

It is down over 20% so far from the high ..of course it needs to fall a lot more
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Old 05-19-2021, 01:54 PM
 
37,626 posts, read 46,035,471 times
Reputation: 57246
Quote:
Originally Posted by rkcarguy View Post
https://www.housingwire.com/articles...-4-from-march/

"New housing starts fell far more than expected" According to CNBC. Well, at almost $13 for a single 2x6 stud, I'm not surprised.

"Skyrocketing prices for lumber, appliances and other building materials continue to handcuff new housing starts all over the country.

Single-family housing starts in April dropped 13.4% from March to a rate of 1.09 million, according to the most recent study from the U.S. Census Bureau."
Yes I was very happy to see this in the news.
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Old 05-19-2021, 02:35 PM
 
Location: East of Seattle since 1992, 615' Elevation, Zone 8b - originally from SF Bay Area
44,585 posts, read 81,260,275 times
Reputation: 57826
There is a big development underway near us, with homes to start in the $1.6 million range. They did all of the infrastructure, and just finished the final paving a month ago, and left. There is no sign of activity at all now, just cul-de-sacs with pipes sticking up here and there for the home utilities, and work has stopped.
It's seems likely that they are waiting for lumber prices to drop. Continuing now would price the homes well above what people would pay for a tract home, when existing homes are still available under $1 million.
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Old 05-19-2021, 02:58 PM
 
Location: Flyover part of Virginia
4,218 posts, read 2,461,517 times
Reputation: 5066
Good.

We already have too much housing.

We don't need more cheaply built tract garbage. We already have far too much of that covering the landscape.

Nothing goes up in a straight line. Hopefully this is just a 'correction' and lumber prices continue their tend higher and higher.
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Old 05-19-2021, 03:20 PM
 
106,750 posts, read 108,937,910 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Taggerung View Post
Good.

We already have too much housing.

We don't need more cheaply built tract garbage. We already have far too much of that covering the landscape.

Nothing goes up in a straight line. Hopefully this is just a 'correction' and lumber prices continue their tend higher and higher.
Lumber has fallen about 20% so far with the biggest ,move today hitting the daily limit.

Trees don’t grow to the sky
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Old 05-19-2021, 03:23 PM
 
10,503 posts, read 7,050,936 times
Reputation: 32344
Quote:
Originally Posted by rkcarguy View Post
https://www.housingwire.com/articles...-4-from-march/

"New housing starts fell far more than expected" According to CNBC. Well, at almost $13 for a single 2x6 stud, I'm not surprised.

"Skyrocketing prices for lumber, appliances and other building materials continue to handcuff new housing starts all over the country.

Single-family housing starts in April dropped 13.4% from March to a rate of 1.09 million, according to the most recent study from the U.S. Census Bureau."

Market self-regulates.


And a lot depends on where in the country you are. In some places, they can't build homes fast enough.
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Old 05-19-2021, 04:26 PM
 
106,750 posts, read 108,937,910 times
Reputation: 80218
You would think they were giving the homes away free when we went to look at the villages in florida ….in fact you have to make an appointment to see the ,models and they run buses through out the day shuttling people for a timed look
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Old 05-19-2021, 04:40 PM
 
12,022 posts, read 11,581,758 times
Reputation: 11136
I wouldn't trust the seasonal adjustments for April through June because of last year's shutdown.

Residential Construction per Census Bureau

Skip seasonally adjusted figures and go straight to the NSA raw data.
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Old 05-19-2021, 05:09 PM
 
10,503 posts, read 7,050,936 times
Reputation: 32344
Quote:
Originally Posted by lchoro View Post
I wouldn't trust the seasonal adjustments for April through June because of last year's shutdown.

Residential Construction per Census Bureau

Skip seasonally adjusted figures and go straight to the NSA raw data.

Yep. Everybody's running around like chickens over the April inflation data, forgetting that in April, 2020, we had a 2% DROP in prices. Suddenly that price increase in April, 2021, doesn't look quite as bad.
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