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Old 01-24-2022, 06:44 PM
 
5,527 posts, read 3,253,078 times
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This article claims lags in official reporting of rent inflation has temporarily caused the official inflation rate to be understated. Inflation will ramp up as the official stats catch up to the more current rent inflation rates from other sources.

https://asiatimes.com/2022/01/more-i...q-by-end-2022/

Quote:
Shelter accounts for a third of the US government’s Consumer Price Index, but the official numbers have lagged far behind private-sector surveys. Lagged data reporting means that today’s observed price increases will ratchet into faster CPI inflation months from now, putting more pressure on the US Federal Reserve to tighten credit.
The CPI Shelter inflation rate can lag the Zillow rent inflation rate by up to eight months.
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Old 01-25-2022, 11:10 PM
 
12 posts, read 10,793 times
Reputation: 50
Quote:
Originally Posted by Avondalist View Post
This article claims lags in official reporting of rent inflation has temporarily caused the official inflation rate to be understated. Inflation will ramp up as the official stats catch up to the more current rent inflation rates from other sources.

https://asiatimes.com/2022/01/more-i...q-by-end-2022/



The CPI Shelter inflation rate can lag the Zillow rent inflation rate by up to eight months.
What's causing inflation is a multifaceted problem:

1. Landlords are being hit for higher property taxes to make up their state/county/city/municipal budget shortfalls due to shutdowns/lockdowns.

2. AirBNB has destroyed the rental market.

3. There have been too many flippers in the market thanks to those TV shows promising flippers can get rich quick.

4. Gentrification in every 2nd and 3rd tier city. Just look at the SE alone - some houses are equal to what you'd find in LA, Chicago, NYC.

5. Overbuilding has destroyed the rental market.

6. Redlining in black areas in major cities have destroyed the rental market, and then see #2 and #4.

7. Rental rules in most 1st, 2nd, 3rd tier cities are asinine (asking for a full background check, credit check, making 5x the rent, first, last, and security, references, and paying application fee, administration fee, background check fee, credit check fee is breaking the bank on the gig economy) and are discouraging lower class workers from having a place to live.

8. People can't afford to buy houses with 75 year mortgages that are overvalued in less than stellar neighborhoods.

9. Banks (at least where I live) won't let you pay for a house in cash and still want you to go through most of what I listed in #7.

10. Reverse Mortgauges have destroyed generational wealth.
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Old 01-26-2022, 12:20 AM
 
19,798 posts, read 18,085,519 times
Reputation: 17284
Quote:
Originally Posted by SycophantHermit View Post
What's causing inflation is a multifaceted problem:

1. Landlords are being hit for higher property taxes to make up their state/county/city/municipal budget shortfalls due to shutdowns/lockdowns.

2. AirBNB has destroyed the rental market.

3. There have been too many flippers in the market thanks to those TV shows promising flippers can get rich quick.

4. Gentrification in every 2nd and 3rd tier city. Just look at the SE alone - some houses are equal to what you'd find in LA, Chicago, NYC.

5. Overbuilding has destroyed the rental market.

6. Redlining in black areas in major cities have destroyed the rental market, and then see #2 and #4.

7. Rental rules in most 1st, 2nd, 3rd tier cities are asinine (asking for a full background check, credit check, making 5x the rent, first, last, and security, references, and paying application fee, administration fee, background check fee, credit check fee is breaking the bank on the gig economy) and are discouraging lower class workers from having a place to live.

8. People can't afford to buy houses with 75 year mortgages that are overvalued in less than stellar neighborhoods.

9. Banks (at least where I live) won't let you pay for a house in cash and still want you to go through most of what I listed in #7.

10. Reverse Mortgauges have destroyed generational wealth.
Most of that is fairly wild overstatement.....but redlining, come on.
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Old 01-26-2022, 04:41 AM
 
1,750 posts, read 2,403,044 times
Reputation: 3598
Official inflation figures have been steeply undervalued for years. If you want to read detailed ongoing analysis and data models look through Inflation, Money Supply, GDP, Unemployment and the Dollar - Alternate Data Series. The main reporting is behind a paywall but you can still read a lot of the site for free.
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Old 01-26-2022, 07:19 AM
 
10,864 posts, read 6,480,995 times
Reputation: 7959
Quote:
Originally Posted by SycophantHermit View Post
What's causing inflation is a multifaceted problem:

1. Landlords are being hit for higher property taxes to make up their state/county/city/municipal budget shortfalls due to shutdowns/lockdowns.

2. AirBNB has destroyed the rental market.

3. There have been too many flippers in the market thanks to those TV shows promising flippers can get rich quick.

4. Gentrification in every 2nd and 3rd tier city. Just look at the SE alone - some houses are equal to what you'd find in LA, Chicago, NYC.

5. Overbuilding has destroyed the rental market.

6. Redlining in black areas in major cities have destroyed the rental market, and then see #2 and #4.

7. Rental rules in most 1st, 2nd, 3rd tier cities are asinine (asking for a full background check, credit check, making 5x the rent, first, last, and security, references, and paying application fee, administration fee, background check fee, credit check fee is breaking the bank on the gig economy) and are discouraging lower class workers from having a place to live.

8. People can't afford to buy houses with 75 year mortgages that are overvalued in less than stellar neighborhoods.

9. Banks (at least where I live) won't let you pay for a house in cash and still want you to go through most of what I listed in #7.

10. Reverse Mortgauges have destroyed generational wealth.
if so,rent should be lower ,not higher?
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Old 01-26-2022, 10:22 AM
 
Location: Orange County, CA
4,901 posts, read 3,361,298 times
Reputation: 2975
That's what Kevin Philips, former strategist for Richard Nixon basically also stated not only in regards to inflation but also unemployment and economic growth as well:

https://harpers.org/archive/2008/05/numbers-racket/

Quote:
Instead, since the 1960s, Washington has been forced to gull its citizens and creditors by debasing official statistics: the vital instruments with which the vigor and muscle of the American economy are measured. The effect, over the past twenty-five years, has been to create a false sense of economic achievement and rectitude, allowing us to maintain artificially low interest rates, massive government borrowing, and a dangerous reliance on mortgage and financial debt even as real economic growth has been slower than claimed.
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Old 01-26-2022, 10:46 AM
 
7,473 posts, read 4,016,499 times
Reputation: 6462
LOL................its the Government.........Governments have lied since they were initiated............
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Old 01-26-2022, 10:52 AM
 
19,798 posts, read 18,085,519 times
Reputation: 17284
It would behoove some of you guys to take a couple of hours and investigate why these various statistical adjustments have been made to GDP, inflation, UE etc. over time.

Just a little real understanding relegates loud mouths like Williams to the rubbish pile.
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Old 01-26-2022, 10:55 AM
 
19,798 posts, read 18,085,519 times
Reputation: 17284
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lycanmaster View Post
That's what Kevin Philips, former strategist for Richard Nixon basically also stated not only in regards to inflation but also unemployment and economic growth as well:

https://harpers.org/archive/2008/05/numbers-racket/
I'm pretty sure that's the guy who predicted the Yuan would supplant the greenback as a reserve currency by about 2010.
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Old 01-26-2022, 12:56 PM
 
Location: Spain
12,722 posts, read 7,575,805 times
Reputation: 22639
Quote:
Originally Posted by EDS_ View Post
It would behoove some of you guys to take a couple of hours and investigate why these various statistical adjustments have been made to GDP, inflation, UE etc. over time.

Just a little real understanding relegates loud mouths like Williams to the rubbish pile.
Exactly. The knee-jerk reaction that change to any methodology must have nefarious motivations is so pervasive among some posters here, they just swallow whatever oversimplified one-sided take the latest ZeroHedge article has thrown their way and call it a day.
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