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Old 08-24-2009, 01:08 PM
 
Location: San Diego California
6,797 posts, read 6,648,323 times
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What will be the shape of the economy in the future? Some say that we have turned the corner on the recession and are looking at a V shaped recovery. Others insist that the fundamentals of the economy still have major problems and that the recovery is only the temporary result of massive stimulus, that the recession will double dip and the economy will be W shaped. If that is the case it would mean several years of rough road ahead. It does appear as if the government will be somewhat hamstrung in its ability to intervene from here going forward as almost any action they take will have some type of detrimental reaction. Foreign U.S. bond sales, the credit lifeline of the government, which makes deficit spending possible, are in serious trouble. The Chinese, have made it clear that they are going to adjust their investments in treasuries to reflect U.S. government deficit spending. If it were not for the FED purchases of treasuries, interest rates would now be much higher. Further monetizing of the debt could cause worldwide loss of confidence in the dollar and result in much higher prices for the energy imports we depend on so desperately. Higher energy prices in turn would cause inflation in other sectors. The question now is what the economy will do without further massive stimulus. What’s your opinion V or W?
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Old 08-24-2009, 01:27 PM
 
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I have no idea
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Old 08-24-2009, 02:47 PM
 
975 posts, read 1,631,658 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jimhcom View Post
What will be the shape of the economy in the future?
Who cares? As long as my networth is going up the economy is great.
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Old 08-24-2009, 05:32 PM
 
Location: Oregon Coast
1,848 posts, read 6,438,308 times
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It's funny how people started describing the economy in the shape of letters. The last time I watched one of those economic shows the expert said he expected a U shaped recovery.
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Old 08-24-2009, 06:07 PM
 
Location: Great State of Texas
86,068 posts, read 76,935,416 times
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V or W or U or L or M ....

Belly up to the table and place your bets !
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Old 08-24-2009, 07:02 PM
 
1,020 posts, read 2,343,128 times
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I expect a graph in the shape of exp(j*t) where variable t is all values between 0 and infinity (in radians) and j=sqrt(-1).

And, that's loooooooong term :-)

:-)
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Old 08-24-2009, 07:07 PM
 
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It could well be an "O" cycle
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Old 08-24-2009, 07:09 PM
 
Location: Sierra Vista, AZ
16,649 posts, read 22,064,100 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jaggy001 View Post
It could well be an "O" cycle
Or a Y shaped thingy.
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Old 08-24-2009, 08:05 PM
 
1,020 posts, read 2,343,128 times
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Quote:
It could well be an "O" cycle
I was just waiting for someone who knew polar coordinates to respond, LOL.
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Old 08-25-2009, 04:20 AM
 
Location: Conejo Valley, CA
12,470 posts, read 18,235,445 times
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Who besides shills are suggesting its going to be a V-shaped recovery?

Whether there is a U or W shaped recession depends largely what the government does. If they listen to all the nonsense about the growing deficit, there will be a double dip just like the depression. If they stick to it...a U shape.
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