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Old 12-19-2011, 03:31 PM
 
3,504 posts, read 3,926,922 times
Reputation: 1357

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iowa will be the key.

intrade who i love for markets has ron paul slated to finish 1 in iowa. he's projected to win it if it happened today. he's gotta roll that momentum to new hampshire now.

now looking at new hampshire on intrade:
romney is a huge favorite with paul in second.

new hampshire primary is 1/10.

if he wins iowa, look for romney's 76 in mass to come down and pauls 12 percent chance in iowa to come up.
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Old 12-19-2011, 04:00 PM
 
Location: Philadelphia
11,998 posts, read 12,948,203 times
Reputation: 8365
New Hampshire has no excuse to not vote in Ron Paul. This will prove if they really are the "Live free or die" state.
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Old 12-19-2011, 04:40 PM
 
Location: New Hampshire
4,866 posts, read 5,682,379 times
Reputation: 3786
Going up to Manchester tomorrow to see RP!

My boyfriend, myself and a friend of his are going to say hello and let him know we support him!
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Old 12-19-2011, 04:50 PM
 
Location: NC
4,100 posts, read 4,520,378 times
Reputation: 1372
Yep, I agree. The whole "he can't win" stuff will be thrown out the window & that could really get the snowball rolling down the hill.
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Old 12-19-2011, 05:35 PM
 
Location: NC
1,956 posts, read 1,813,448 times
Reputation: 898
Quote:
Originally Posted by tropolis View Post
iowa will be the key.

intrade who i love for markets has ron paul slated to finish 1 in iowa. he's projected to win it if it happened today. he's gotta roll that momentum to new hampshire now.

now looking at new hampshire on intrade:
romney is a huge favorite with paul in second.

new hampshire primary is 1/10.

if he wins iowa, look for romney's 76 in mass to come down and pauls 12 percent chance in iowa to come up.
I thought you were done with Paul after that?
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Old 12-19-2011, 06:40 PM
 
Location: SC
9,101 posts, read 16,467,081 times
Reputation: 3621
Quote:
Originally Posted by tropolis View Post
iowa will be the key.

intrade who i love for markets has ron paul slated to finish 1 in iowa. he's projected to win it if it happened today. he's gotta roll that momentum to new hampshire now.

now looking at new hampshire on intrade:
romney is a huge favorite with paul in second.

new hampshire primary is 1/10.

if he wins iowa, look for romney's 76 in mass to come down and pauls 12 percent chance in iowa to come up.
Why do you even bother with these threads? We all know you aren't REALLY a Ron Paul supporter.
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Old 12-19-2011, 06:45 PM
 
Location: NC
4,100 posts, read 4,520,378 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by emilybh View Post
Why do you even bother with these threads? We all know you aren't REALLY a Ron Paul supporter.
give him a break, at least he's interested & he makes some good points
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Old 12-19-2011, 06:52 PM
 
3,304 posts, read 2,174,935 times
Reputation: 2390
Yeah, it is possible, but I would be amazed if it happened. People in New Hampshire seem to really love Mitt Romney. I'd be surprised to see him get within 5 points of Romney, but you never know.
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Old 12-19-2011, 06:57 PM
 
Location: Old Bellevue, WA
18,782 posts, read 17,375,811 times
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I heard the other day that an incredible pct, about 60 IIRC, of likely caucus attendees say they still have not firmly made up their minds. Reading between the lines I suspect that shows trepidation about the choices. If so that could be to the advantage of the safe choice, namely Romney. Young lady might be tempted by the handsome rake, the brilliant, brooding artist, but when it's time to say I do she goes with Mr. safe, solid, & dependable.
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Old 12-19-2011, 07:01 PM
 
Location: Texas
14,975 posts, read 16,473,931 times
Reputation: 4586
Quote:
Originally Posted by Supachai View Post
Yeah, it is possible, but I would be amazed if it happened. People in New Hampshire seem to really love Mitt Romney. I'd be surprised to see him get within 5 points of Romney, but you never know.
Quote:
Originally Posted by wutitiz View Post
I heard the other day that an incredible pct, about 60 IIRC, of likely caucus attendees say they still have not firmly made up their minds. Reading between the lines I suspect that shows trepidation about the choices. If so that could be to the advantage of the safe choice, namely Romney. Young lady might be tempted by the handsome rake, the brilliant, brooding artist, but when it's time to say I do she goes with Mr. safe, solid, & dependable.
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