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Iowa surge, yes, somewhat but the new flavor, hardly!!! Just because a candidate suddenly makes a little progress doesn't mean he is a favorite by any stretch of the imagination. All this will do is keep him in the race a little longer cause he might be able to raise a few bucks.
Agreed. All I've seen articles about lately is Romney, Paul, and Gingrich. They completely ignore Huntsman, just pushing their three chosen candidates into the headlines every day.
Whether Huntsman is your choice, my choice or a good choice, there is a reason he is being totally ignored or 2 reasons actually: 1-he isn't doing much to expose himself and 2-he stand absolutely no chance of going anywhere. The media is going to consentrate on the candidates that are drawing interest.
Don't ever underestimate the religious right in Iowa. They sealed the deal for the relatively unknown Huckabee last time...remember that.
That is why the Iowa caucus has become completely irrelevant from the big picture perspective. Iowa basically determines which of the candidates is the most extreme social conservative or at least puts on the best show. The positions that it takes to win Iowa renders that person unelectable in the general election. Because of the heavy influence of the religious right in the caucus, Iowa has almost become an inverse indicator of who the eventual nominee will be.
3) conservative republican (aka red-herring-crap social policy republicans, Santorum, Bachmann, Perry), if Santorum wins he'll be alright (i.e. he'll continue into New Hampshire).
I would not expect any drop-outs until after New Hampshire or Virginia, except maybe one of the type 3) republicans.
Good Luck!
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