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Only 35% of Republicans are enthusiastic about voting for Romney this November, compared with 47% who were enthusiastic about voting for McCain at this same time in 2008.
Santorum gets about the same level of enthusiasm at 34%.
I think it's possible that the Republican hate for Obama could override the Democratic enthusiasm for him. Still, it's up to independents to swing the election when all is said and done.
I think enthusiasm and optimism are down in both parties. But it's sort of apples and oranges to compare Romney to McCain at this time 4 years ago, since at this time 4 years ago the party already had time to rally around McCain as the presumptive nominee.
Only 35% of Republicans are enthusiastic about voting for Romney this November, compared with 47% who were enthusiastic about voting for McCain at this same time in 2008.
Santorum gets about the same level of enthusiasm at 34%.
I wouldn't celebrate so soon. Mid-March of 2008, McCain had already officially locked up the nomination with over 1200 delegates. The second strongest candidate, Mitt Romney, had dropped out over a month earlier and Mike Huckabee dropped out March 4th. McCain was the only man left standing by March 15, 2008. (Paul stayed in as we all know but his delegate total wasn't large enough to make any difference.)
The GOP screwed up big-time by intentionally making their primary season take as long as possible. Lack of enthusiasm for Romney right now springs from the fact that he is not the inevitable nominee. So if you really want somebody else more than Romney, it's still possible. It would take a massive shift in voter support, but Santorum, Gingrich and Paul are all still theoretically in this race.
According to RCP totals, McCain had way more delegates by March 15, 2008 than have even been voted for this cycle. A total of 939 delegates have been awarded to date this year. Even if Mitt had won them all, he still would not officially be the nominee yet. Romney has won more than half of the delegates so far, but the GOP's bright idea is working against him now. Even if he won every delegate from this day on, he would not reach the 1144 mark until May 15th.
Realistically probably won't know for certain who wins until June 5th. 100% the GOP's fault for messing with the schedule and trying to make it drag out longer.
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