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Some conservative Republicans have called for Gingrich to drop out of the race on the assumption that conservative primary voters would then unite behind Santorum as the conservative alternative to the more moderate Romney. But Gallup data indicate that Gingrich voters would not be likely to coalesce behind Santorum, suggesting that factors other than candidate ideology may be attracting voters to Gingrich, Santorum, and Romney.
Last edited by afoigrokerkok; 03-16-2012 at 11:47 AM..
When 50% of the voters in AL and MS admit that Romney is the best choice against Obama in the general election, you know that Santorum would not clean up on the Gingrich voter base.
Which is exactly what we have been saying. Even Gingrich pointed out that he didn't really compete in MI or OH and Santorum didn't win those. I think Gingrich dropping out would either help Romney or just not have much effect at all.
Why is Romney their, not first but, second choice behind Newt and especially where he is strong (South)? That will be my question. It appears that this is general picture of the entire country rather than just the south.
Otherwise, the republican base being nearly half Romney and nearly half Santorum sounds about right, with an slight edge to the former for being somewhat liberal (scapegoat to point at for future debacles).
Which is exactly what we have been saying. Even Gingrich pointed out that he didn't really compete in MI or OH and Santorum didn't win those. I think Gingrich dropping out would either help Romney or just not have much effect at all.
Gingrich dropping out would most certainly help Romney especially if the Gingrich voters are split 50%-50% between Santorum and Romney. This is simply because Gingrich staying in sucks up some delegates might have otherwise gone to Romney and that makes a brokered convention more likely.
Gingrich dropping out would most certainly help Romney especially if the Gingrich voters are split 50%-50% between Santorum and Romney. This is simply because Gingrich staying in sucks up some delegates might have otherwise gone to Romney and that makes a brokered convention more likely.
That's true as far as delegate count, which is why Gingrich says he is staying in. He thinks he will work some deal with Santorum to be on his ticket and then he can deliver his delegates to Santorum. He can't of course, but in his lunar orbit world he can and that is all that matters to him.
Gingrich dropping out would most certainly help Romney especially if the Gingrich voters are split 50%-50% between Santorum and Romney. This is simply because Gingrich staying in sucks up some delegates might have otherwise gone to Romney and that makes a brokered convention more likely.
Exactly. But with Newt's ego, that's probably what he's planning
Exactly. But with Newt's ego, that's probably what he's planning
After the way Romney attacked him, in Iowa, and Florida especially, I think his goal is probably to inflict as much damage on Romney as possible, even if that means re-electing Obama and I think that is great. Alternatively his goal may be to get a brokered convention so he can get a deal of some sort. I think that too is great.
Basically Romney with his huge organization and money advatages has clearly shown weakness. That weakness is he just cannot convince conservatives. Where Gringrich has done; well Santorium has clearly been the second choice. But if one looks eve the republican party( noy voters) is not puttig any prerssure really to end the three way fight for the nomintion. Some say ist ebcasue Obama is over shadowed as long as it continues and its puts metal in the candidates themselves for a tough election coming up.
Where Gringrich has done; well Santorium has clearly been the second choice.
Interesting point.
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