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It is interesting how real clear cherry pics the poles the wish to average
For instance the NBC new Mariat poll when you view who was polled for this you find that 43% of the people polled were democrats while 35 % were republicans.
It is also interresting they did not include one of the polls in their average
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Originally Posted by wjtwet
It is interesting how real clear cherry pics the poles the wish to average
For instance the NBC new Mariat poll when you view who was polled for this you find that 43% of the people polled were democrats while 35 % were republicans.
It is also interresting they did not include one of the polls in their average
Yeah, that is odd, especially since Real Clear is among the more conservative-leaning polls (or more accurately, poll aggregate). I tend to like the overview at 538, which not only looks at many different polls, like other aggregators, but also uses some interesting statistical models borrowed from sports analysis. And one of the interesting things about the Florida polls is that Romney seems to fluctuate all over the place, one moment he's up, then he's down, then up again... while Obama's poll numbers just keep steadily rising there.
The poll shows almost 8% undecided. History shows about 80-90% of the undecided go for the challenger. That gives Romney a commanding lead, even with Obama's phoney immigration theatrics.
The poll shows almost 8% undecided. History shows about 80-90% of the undecided go for the challenger. That gives Romney a commanding lead, even with Obama's phoney immigration theatrics.
Not at this point in the election. There are a good number of people who don't really know much about Romney. My thought is that when they find out more, they won't like him. That is the pattern that became established in the primary. Romney is just not a warm and fuzzy guy and it will hurt him down the stretch with people who are not politically oriented. The "jerk" rarely wins regardless of his message.
"Outlier".... that seems to be the new buzzword these days among 'wingers whenever the results sound "inconvenient" ("oh, it's just an outlier!"). And funny how they suddenly become statistical "experts" and love scientific terminology (when it suits 'em)... even though they still don't know how to spell!
Really, do you see me running around proclaiming Romeny the winner of Michigan and Wisconisn, because 1 poll says so?
That was the point of that thread. Romney leading with a ridiculously skewed party ID number that favors democrats.
Now...obama is pulling away with that 1.8 point lead.
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