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I simply look at these poll numbers this way: I wish there had been no surge, but of course there was going to be some, just like after the Republican convention. Right now, I don't think anyone who is really thinking with an open mind can really think the race is over. Those who are sure Obama will clean house are thinking with their hearts than with the brains or they live in a make believe world. Those who think the bump means absolutely nothing and Romney will clean house are also not thinking logically..I am betting on a race to the very end and it is anyones guess who will prevail.
I know some keep pushing the Jimmy Carter thing vs. Reagan because of the recession, but a big factor for Reagan was that he was charismatic, and Carter was not. Who's going to win the personality/likeability competition in this race? That's where I think the analogy is flawed.
I agree, the election of 1980 was nothing like 2012. Reagan was likable Romney is not. Obama is more popular than Carter was in 1980. There was also a lot going on in 1980. In addition to high gas prices and a struggling economy, Carter was dealing with the Iran hostage crisis. Carter was doing poorly internationally, Obama is not. Many blame the hostage crisis for Carter's defeat.
Maybe one of the "little people" who work on Mittie's campaign should tell him that the healthcare system in the US bears no relation to a free market. There are cartels, price breaks for certain groups, etc. I guess he wouldn't know that since he doesn't have to bother his little head about details like that.
Maybe someone should tell you that part of Romney's plan for healthcare is to allow more competition across state line which will allow market forces to bring down rates. It will also allow people more choices in the coverage they need. Obamacare forces everyone to get a cadillac plan or they get fined (taxed).
People will just forget about his last four years of incompetence and vote for him anyway. Obama cannot run from his record, and his record stinks to high heaven.
Well the bump is a positive sign that the convention went over well, but it's not so huge as to be near impossible to reverse. We'll see where we are in a couple of weeks when all the convention afterglow wears off and the counter attacks are well underway.
I can't see the debates affecting anything unless one candidate really screws up.
The October jobs report might be the next thing that makes a dent in people's consciousness outside the ads IMO.
The Obama camp has to be happy about the Ohio trend though.
I know some keep pushing the Jimmy Carter thing vs. Reagan because of the recession, but a big factor for Reagan was that he was charismatic, and Carter was not. Who's going to win the personality/likeability competition in this race? That's where I think the analogy is flawed.
Nope. the big factor was the economy, straight up.
He's going to look like an idiot debating Romney. Without his teleprompter telling him what to say, he's clueless.
Yep, this is why the guy beat The Clintons....
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Maybe one of the "little people" who work on Mittie's campaign should tell him that the healthcare system in the US bears no relation to a free market. There are cartels, price breaks for certain groups, etc. I guess he wouldn't know that since he doesn't have to bother his little head about details like that.
