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Yes. Remember the hostages were released the day after Reagan won. Very interesting.
And OBL will show up living in Chicago after Obama is reelected. He's not really dead just in the Govt witness program working as a union teacher organizer.
So far the only candidate honoring us with a visit was Paul Ryan secluding himself last weekend in an undislosed location to practice for the upcoming debate. When I see more visitation, I'll believe were a swing state.
For this to happen we need a cataclysmic event that shifts the favor to Romney. If we have two months of negative job growth, Europe collapses, Romney releases more tax returns only to show that he's donated 99% of his income to 9/11 victims and Obama eats a puppy on live TV- then maybe this map will be plausible
The latest CNN/ORC poll shows a wider lead for President Obama than the previous CNN/ORC poll but it is doubly skewed. It massively under-samples independents while it also over-samples Democratic voters. The CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll official reports Obama at 52 to percent and Mitt Romney at 46 percent. Unskewed, the data reveals a 53 percent to 45 percent lead for Romney.
This new CNN/ORC survey, unlike many other analyzed, not only over-samples Democratic voters, but also massively under-samples independent voters, to produce a result more favorable to Barack Obama. This survey's sample includes 397 registered Republicans and 441 registered Democrats. But the survey included a total of 822 registered voters, leaving only 37 independent voters at most. The survey clearly under-sampled independent and Republican voters.
Rassmussen and Pew Polling Most Accurate In 2008 Race
I mention this a lot when either of these 2 pollsters are dismissed but here is the list of the most accurate 2008 polling organizations and as you can see, Pew and Rassmussen were the most accurate and you can also see who were the least accurate:
1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**
3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)
4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)
5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*
6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*
6T. ARG (10/25-27)*
8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)
8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)
10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)
11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)
12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)
13. FOX (11/1-2)
14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)
15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)
16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)
17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)
18. Marist College (11/3)
19. CBS (10/31-11/2)
20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)
21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)
22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)
23. Newsweek (10/22-23)
"Seventeen of the 23 surveys overstated Obama’s final victory level, while four underestimated it. Only two — Rasmussen and Pew — were spot on."
This is playing to verify the excuse all the right wingers parrot in union when they are called out on how right wing biased Rasmussen is with "Well, they were accurate in 2008!" That was 4 yeas ago and going off a single poll, the last one, where virtually every pollster was right on.
Otherwise Rasmussen again shows they were heavily right wing biased and inaccurate in 2010 and to this day
I mention this a lot when either of these 2 pollsters are dismissed but here is the list of the most accurate 2008 polling organizations and as you can see, Pew and Rassmussen were the most accurate and you can also see who were the least accurate:
1T. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1T. Pew (10/29-11/1)**
3. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)
4. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)
5. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*
6T. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*
6T. ARG (10/25-27)*
8T. CNN (10/30-11/1)
8T. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)
10. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)
11. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)
12. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)
13. FOX (11/1-2)
14. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)
15. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)
16. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)
17. ABC/Post (10/30-11/2)
18. Marist College (11/3)
19. CBS (10/31-11/2)
20. Gallup (10/31-11/2)
21. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)
22. CBS/Times (10/25-29)
23. Newsweek (10/22-23)
"Seventeen of the 23 surveys overstated Obama’s final victory level, while four underestimated it. Only two — Rasmussen and Pew — were spot on."
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Rassmussen and Pew Polling Most Accurate In 2008 Race
