Romney Polling Numbers in Free Fall - 16% Chance of Winning - Lowest Ever Rating (vote, campaign)

[padcrasher]

He'd only have a 2% chance if race held today.

Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com

Given the changing demographics of the US, we are likely witnessing the last GOP campaign catering to the "grumpy old white man" vote.

History in the making.

Likely see a total rebranding of the GOP after this loss, unless they just aren't serious about winning again.

[bluesjuke]

NY Times?

Might get better info in the Star or Enquirer.

[padcrasher]

Originally Posted by bluesjuke

NY Times?

Might get better info in the Star or Enquirer.

Yes it's a NYT's blog hosted by Nate Silver.

Anybody can read his bioograpy here, along with track record and decide for themselves.

Nate Silver - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Silver's final 2008 presidential election forecast accurately predicted the winner of 49 of the 50 states as well as the District of Columbia (missing only the prediction for Indiana). As his model predicted, the races in Missouri and North Carolina were particularly close. He also correctly predicted the winners of every U.S. Senate race. The accuracy of his predictions won him further acclaim, including abroad, and added to his reputation as a leading political prognosticator.

[Bideshi]

Dead even as of yesterday's poll:

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll - Rasmussen Reports™

[Natural510]

Yeah, but they're only polling Democrats. I don't think a single Republican has been polled regarding the presidential election this past month. You'll see!

[Natural510]

Originally Posted by Bideshi

Dead even as of yesterday's poll:

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll - Rasmussen Reports™

(R)asmussen is but one polling company. Quinnepac has Obama up by ten points in Ohio. Of course, everyone on this forum by now knows RealClearPolitics.com and can find all polling information on their own, without bias.

[padcrasher]

Originally Posted by Natural510

Yeah, but they're only polling Democrats. I don't think a single Republican has been polled regarding the presidential election this past month. You'll see!

You should try and place a bet with Paddypower, the world's largest online betting site.

One will get you six if you are correct.

Put your money where your mouth is.

[Natural510]

Originally Posted by padcrasher

You should try and place a bet with Paddypower, the world's largest online betting site.

One will get you six if you are correct.

Put your money where your mouth is.

I didn't use my mouth to type, and you do realize I was being blatantly sarcastic?

Edit: I realize it wasn't blatant and could easily have been typed by a few dozen posters on this forum.

[Sound of Reason]

Originally Posted by padcrasher

Given the changing demographics of the US, we are likely witnessing the last GOP campaign catering to the "grumpy old white man" vote.

I see that you're okay in your racism towards white men.

[Natural510]

Originally Posted by Sound of Reason

I see that you're okay in your racism towards white men.

He's merely echoing the words of Lindsey Graham:
Sen. Lindsey Graham: Not Enough 'Angry White Guys' to Sustain GOP}